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  1. #1
    Chaser
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
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    Victoria, BC
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    225

    Default Week 1 NFL / Week 2 CFB

    I figured I should post my picks here for people to take a look at. I'm not playing many this week, but I think a couple people wanted me to post my plays here. By the way, I'm not that good... I just try to look for teams that score a lot of points and spreads that are low.

    NFL

    Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 v Houston Texans
    Houston is terrible. The Eagles are over that whole T.O. thing and they are going to come out and devastate the Texans. Not like it's hard.

    Cincinnati Bengals +2.5 v Kansas City Chiefs
    Carson Palmer > the entire Kansas City defence.

    San Diego Chargers -3 v Oakland Raiders
    Oakland is also pretty terrible and a 3 point spread looks pretty nice for a San Diego offence consisting of LaDainian Tomlinson.

    Seattle Seahawks -6 v Detroit Lions
    Not only are they my favourite team, but Seattle won me the most out of any team last year in betting on them. They frequently demolished the other teams in points. I can't totally recall but I think it was the game where the spread was -7 over Tennessee and they won by about 35. I laid a third of my betting bankroll on that game. This is your year Seattle .

    CFB

    Iowa -18 v Syracuse
    Iowa is a great team and Syracuse is the worst team in division 1-A. Pretty standard bet here. I can see Iowa winning by 30+.

    Virginia Tech -12 v North Carolina
    Virginia Tech scored 38 points last game and will score atleast 30 again. I'm a big fan of the randomly large spreads in college football.

    Season Results
    NFL: 1-0 - +$700 (haha go Steelers)
    CFB: 0-0

    Hoping for a good start to the season.
    Quote Originally Posted by the alex
    manifest is the best poster in the history of online forums.

  2. #2
    Super Moderator WotaWaster's Avatar
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    Oct 2005
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    Luton, England
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    Default

    Manifest do you keep record for your succes rate last season?

    I deposited about $500 into 1 sportsbook which I was going to use to hedge my second free Steelers bet but instead decided to freeroll it (Wohoo!).

    Since I have a 10% bonus anyway and am feeling in a gambling mood I may leave that there to bet some NFL games along with your tips.

    No pressure or anything!

    Which is your "lock of the week"?

  3. #3
    Loz
    Loz is offline
    Poker Expert Loz's Avatar
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    Aug 2006
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    Default

    Lock of the week would be Philadelphia for sure.

  4. #4
    Mike McDermott
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    Mar 2006
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    West Virginia University
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    Default

    Philly is not a lock. I know, I'm an Eagles homer.

    Locks of the week:

    Tennessee/New York - UNDER

    Buffalo/New England - UNDER.

    I have 5 straight wagers and a 5 team parlay going Sunday and I lost $50 on Oregon State last night. WHO THE FUCK LETS UP 42 UNANSWERED POINTS!? HONESTLY. I will never bet against Boise again, freaking 47-2 on the smurf turf.

    I tracked my betting last year, 81%. It was a good freaking year . If anyone would like to me to post my best bets for this weekend just let me know. I write for a couple smaller sports sites (journalism major) and like to think I know my shit.
    BOSS

  5. #5
    Mike McDermott
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    West Virginia University
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    Default

    Oh, and FSU/Miami snagged me a nice pot on Monday night. I took FSU +3.5 and the 39 UNDER.

    Me betting > me playing poker, haha
    BOSS

  6. #6
    Chaser
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    Jul 2005
    Location
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    Default

    I might have it at home but I think I went about 70-75% last year. That is betting on the games I think I have an edge on, not every single one of course.

    For this week, I am a big fan of my bets on Cincinnati, San Diego and Iowa. If you were to bet with me on any games it would be these ones. Of course I am not responsible for your losses when I go 0-6 this week .

    SeanyBullets: I might tail you on the unders you posted. Looks good to me too. Probably just 1 unit though.
    Quote Originally Posted by the alex
    manifest is the best poster in the history of online forums.

  7. #7
    Mike McDermott
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
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    West Virginia University
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    I didn't touch SD but I definitely took Cincy getting 2.5. Even with Housh probably not playing, Henry stretches the field with CJ as good as Housh. The KC D won't be able to stop Rudi who will likely have 100 yds and 2 TD.

    LJ is without a line and Green's over the hill. The Cincy D is fast and forces a lot of turnovers. Solid bet.

    I put $20 on the 5 team parlay, if I hit all 5, I get $500

    I know the chances are very slim but I'm confident in every bet in my parlay. NE/Buf UNDER, NYJ/Ten UNDER, Phi -5.5, Tampa -3, Sea -6.5.

    My straight NFL wagers are:

    Chicago -3.5
    Cincinnati +2.5
    Dallas +2.5
    BOSS

  8. #8
    Super Moderator WotaWaster's Avatar
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    Ok Manifest. What % of my newly dedicated "sports betting bankroll" should I be betting per game?

    I'll try whatever you recommend throughout season. At end of season I will give you 10% of any profit. If I go bust before end of season I will never bet on a sports game again.

    This week I'll ease myself in with your 3 favoured picks.

  9. #9
    Mike McDermott
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    Mar 2006
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    If anyone's got any spare money lying around...put it down for Pitt. to cover tonight (CFB).
    BOSS

  10. #10
    Mike McDermott
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    Mar 2006
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    West Virginia University
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    Hey manifest...we should make a thread under here for every week for NFL bets as a competition. Winner at the end is declared KING BETTOR OF PFO
    BOSS

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