$2.25 MTT - Bubble blind steal flops 2 Pair, tough spot on turn

MJPerry · #1 (**permalink**) 03-10-2008, 11:34 AM

'Tis the uber apotheosis of the bubble - hand for hand play, 28 players left and 27 get paid.

Villain hadn't been out of line so far, but he hadn't had many showdowns so it's hard to put him on a range, especially in this stealing sort of situation.

I justify my PFR because this was the most passive table in the world ever since 31 players or so. I'd had about 5k before the bubble and made 10,000 just stealing blinds and antes, they were letting me run them over.

Full Tilt Poker Game #5537715280: $2 + $0.25 Tournament (42036361), Table 10 - 250/500 Ante 50 - No Limit Hold'em - 12:32:39 ET - 2008/03/07

Seat 1: MP1 (14,945)
Seat 4: CO (9,829)
Seat 5: BTN (22,120)
Seat 6: SB (13,510)
Seat 8: BB (12,285)
Seat 9: UTG (30,966)
All players ante 50
SB posts the small blind of 250
BB posts the big blind of 500
The button is in seat #5

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero

UTG folds
Hero raises to 1,500
CO folds
BTN calls 1,500
SB folds
BB folds

*** FLOP ***

(4,050)
Hero bets 3,000
BTN calls 3,000

*** TURN ***

: (10,050)
Hero checks
BTN bets 15,000
Hero ???

maltz · #2 (**permalink**) 03-11-2008, 09:06 AM

I would call and see who goes broke. His pushing range is wide because:

1. You raised PF, so he can easily put you on two overcards.
2. You checked the turn, so he knows you are afraid of the 3rd club.
3. If you hit the flush would you bet this much?