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Go Back PokerForums.org > Strategy Discussion > SNG & MTT Hand Analysis > Should I be dumping this preflop?

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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 07-14-2007, 04:13 AM
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Default Should I be dumping this preflop?

The hand I went out of the 20k guaranteed on. Antes were at 600 so starting pot is about 14k. I'm second guessing myself on this one, the blinds are soooooooooo worth stealing at this point, but am I wrong to raise this? Should I wait for a better hand?

EDIT: I should probably add the info for what it's worth. I just got moved to the table so no reads. 47 left, money really doesn't get interesting until the final table (like $300 for 9th), there is a money bubble at 45 for an extra $11 if that matters.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t6000 (8 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

saw flop|saw showdown

UTG (t156897)
UTG+1 (t124787)
MP1 (t89644)
Hero (t69180)
CO (t157336)
Button (t33332)
SB (t420270)
BB (t230243)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with , .
3 folds, Hero raises to t27000, CO raises to t72000, 3 folds, Hero calls t41580 (All-In).

Flop: (t144180) , , (2 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: (t144180) (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: (t144180) (2 players, 1 all-in)

Final Pot: t144180

Results in white below:
Hero has Ah 4h (one pair, sixes).
CO has Jd Ac (one pair, sixes).
Outcome: CO wins t144180.
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Last edited by davidab157; 07-14-2007 at 05:21 AM.
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Old 07-14-2007, 05:07 AM
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Default

Pot is 14k so your M is 5.
Open push all in preflop.
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Old 07-14-2007, 05:15 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WotaWaster View Post
Pot is 14k so your M is 5.
Open push all in preflop.
I was thinking that, but for the last 30 mins or so I didn't see much open pushing, even though the M's were small. Most people still seemed to be going for the 3x-4x raises for about half their stack, I just kinda went along with what everyone else was doing.
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Old 07-14-2007, 05:48 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by davidab157 View Post
I was thinking that, but for the last 30 mins or so I didn't see much open pushing, even though the M's were small. Most people still seemed to be going for the 3x-4x raises for about half their stack, I just kinda went along with what everyone else was doing.
as a rule of thumb (imho):

- against strong players, pushing=weak raising=strong
- against weak players, pushing=strong raising=weak

So in a low-buyin tournament, default I push here.
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Old 07-14-2007, 07:48 AM
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Quote:
I just kinda went along with what everyone else was doing.
LOL.
Best strategy post of the year!
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Old 07-14-2007, 07:58 AM
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If someone sig's that, I'll be happy

EDIT: I sig'd it, HA!
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Last edited by davidab157; 07-14-2007 at 10:19 AM.
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Old 07-14-2007, 09:02 AM
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At this critical point in the tourney, I would shove with the top 15 hole cards. A4 suited ranks 38th in hole cards. Dump PF.

I guess I enjoy being the dissenting opinion last day or so. The pushing strategy does not take in the tourney position or environment. Of course you want to win the tourney, but the 1st goal should be to make money so you can at least make this tourney a free roll. Worse case scenario you go thru the next 10 hands with bupkus and donate 14K putting you at 55K and probably in the money. Once you are in the money, you can be subjective with the top 40 hole cards. At that point, that A4s could be a shove.
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Old 07-14-2007, 09:46 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by willjim View Post
At this critical point in the tourney, I would shove with the top 15 hole cards. A4 suited ranks 38th in hole cards. Dump PF.

I guess I enjoy being the dissenting opinion last day or so. The pushing strategy does not take in the tourney position or environment. Of course you want to win the tourney, but the 1st goal should be to make money so you can at least make this tourney a free roll. Worse case scenario you go thru the next 10 hands with bupkus and donate 14K putting you at 55K and probably in the money. Once you are in the money, you can be subjective with the top 40 hole cards. At that point, that A4s could be a shove.
I was in the money. Top 225 got paid, by money bubble I meant a new payout level at 45th.

And I disagree about playing to make the money. That's fine in a sng but in a MTT with such a large payout for 1st ($5k) compared to 225th ($16), you have to give yourself the best chance to score big imo.
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Old 07-14-2007, 12:28 PM
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My statement was specifically for playing at the money bubble point (in this case at about 229 players until 225 players). After that your starting hands can become subjective to the other game variables (as they should be before this point also). Thats my opinion and i'm sticking to it.
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Old 07-14-2007, 12:36 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by davidab157 View Post
If someone sig's that, I'll be happy

EDIT: I sig'd it, HA!
bah... If you waited just a little longer I'd have sig'ed it.
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