On the flop I had a double inside straight draw.
On the turn I had a double inside straight draw, with a flush draw (17 outs)
Here's the history.
Full Tilt Poker Game #1648031551: $5 + $0.50 Sit & Go (12056581), Table 1 - 30/60 - No Limit Hold'em - 16:59:53 ET - 2007/01/21
Seat 1: stix25 (3,330)
Seat 2: R_Land (2,460)
Seat 3: Brian Powers (3,105)
Seat 4: Adanme (3,653)
Seat 5: Benjigga (4,320)
Seat 6: billwhite (2,660)
Seat 7: Arends (2,533)
Seat 8: Mocha Lotion (3,035)
Seat 9: jbach009 (3,239)
Arends posts the small blind of 30
Mocha Lotion posts the big blind of 60
The button is in seat #6
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Benjigga [6s 8s]
jbach009 calls 60
stix25 folds
R_Land folds
Brian Powers folds
Adanme calls 60
Benjigga calls 60
billwhite folds
Arends calls 30
Mocha Lotion checks
*** FLOP *** [7h Th 5s]
Arends checks
Mocha Lotion bets 300
jbach009 calls 300
Adanme folds
Benjigga calls 300
Arends folds
*** TURN *** [7h Th 5s] [As]
Mocha Lotion bets 2,675, and is all in
jbach009 calls 2,675
Benjigga folds
Mocha Lotion shows [Ah 6d]
jbach009 shows [Qc Qs]
*** RIVER *** [7h Th 5s As] [9h]
Mocha Lotion shows a pair of Aces
jbach009 shows a pair of Queens
Mocha Lotion wins the pot (6,550) with a pair of Aces
jbach009 stands up
The blinds are now 40/80
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 6,550 | Rake 0
Board: [7h Th 5s As 9h]
Seat 1: stix25 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 2: R_Land didn't bet (folded)
Seat 3: Brian Powers didn't bet (folded)
Seat 4: Adanme folded on the Flop
Seat 5: Benjigga folded on the Turn
Seat 6: billwhite (button) didn't bet (folded)
Seat 7: Arends (small blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 8: Mocha Lotion (big blind) showed [Ah 6d] and won (6,550) with a pair of Aces
Seat 9: jbach009 showed [Qc Qs] and lost with a pair of Queens
Welcome to PokerForums.org
If this is your first visit, be sure to check out the FAQ by clicking the link above. You may have to register before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
Results 1 to 4 of 4
Thread: Would you have called?
-
01-21-2007 #1Fish Food
- Join Date
- Jan 2007
- Posts
- 6
Would you have called?
-
01-21-2007 #2
Loz Pham would of.
SnG Record
34 Entries
17 Cashes
6 1sts
-
01-21-2007 #3
-
01-22-2007 #4
You are required to place 2675 chips into a pot of 6550. If you call 1 player is all in and the other has 204 chips remaining so I will assume he is willing to put them in on any river. This gives you 6754 return on your 2675 chip investment if you win the hand or odds of about 2.5 - 1.
This means you would need to win the pot over 1 time in every 3.5 to make this a break even call in terms purely of chip value (The stage of tournamnet may affect how you use this knowledge but I am a cash game playerso someone else can answer that).
So now the question is do you win here more often than 1 in every 3.5 times?
First you need to calculate your outs:
There are four 4's, four 9's and the seven remaining spades which will make you a flush or straight (15 outs). However there is the possibility of someone else haveing higher flush draw (very unlikely as it is a draw) or that someone has 2 pair/a set and the spades which pair the board and no good to us (Since this is a $5 game people probably are willig to put a lot of money in without a big hand so I would again estimate this as fairly low).
I would therefore assume that on average we have 13 outs to win this hand.
We can see 6 cards meaning 44 are unknown to us. 13/44 of these cards will win the hand for us.
This means we will win the hand 3 out of 10 or 1 every 3.3 times.
That means whether you call or fold you are making a fairly neutral decision on your chips.
Thread Information
Users Browsing this Thread
There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)


LinkBack URL
About LinkBacks
Reply With Quote



