Jesus Christ in the last few days have i run like shit and i must have tilted off a little, but im trying to stay calm. It all rounded off with losing with 77 to K2 on a flop of 752 ( he hit running 2s).
Stars seems to just fuck you and when it does it's not just a quickie, it fucks you till you just cant fucking take it anymore!!!
A classic sng i just played that included the 77 hand. All in with AA v 94off..flop 449 turn A river 4. I mean fuck.
Cant complain to much since i had a good tourney win a few weeks back, but it seems like its been decided to piss on me for a while. Rant over...ill go watch a tuff_fish video to calm me down. Anyone seen the super mario bros with the tuff fish voice over...hilarious!
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Thread: Ranting about running pitifully
February 11th, 2009 #1
Ranting about running pitifully
February 11th, 2009 #2
I wasn't going to start my own thread about this, but maybe we can all have a group whining session. This has been the single worst day in my poker career... having made at least $100 a day for the past week, I'm out $300 today. You can attribute maybe $50-100 of that to tilt, but there's no denying I've had some bad luck today.
- Just counting preflop all-ins, I think I'm something like 2-8 for coinfilps, and have lost with: AA vs. JJ, JJ vs. AJ, AJs vs. QJo, 99 vs. 55. I don't think I've won a single all-in where I was more than a 60-40 favourite, unless he was already down to his last 300 chips or so. Didn't suck out on anyone else either, except stuff like KQ vs. A8 where I'm not really a big dog.
- I caught a river 3 with pocket 33 on a board of 2559+3 and went broke to 55 quads.
- I flopped Axx hearts with KhKx and despite playing as cautiously as possible, still lost most of my stack to QhTh.
- I flatted a 1/3 pot donklead with AA on a board of J73 rainbow and of course the turn was a 3. He check-miniraises me on the turn and pushes the river. Nice hand, sir. Fold.
- I flop KQT with QT against an aggrodonk and get K7 all-in. Well, you know the rest.
- I slowplay a flopped set-boat against someone with a flush-gutshot-overcard combo draw and of course he can't catch anything to pay me with, but god forbid I start with air on the flop and catch runner-runner two pair against someone checking it down; he's got a set every time.
- At least a half dozen times, I got AA/KK/QQ/AK in the big blind against a normally loose-aggressive opponent and had them fold before I had a chance to act.
- I potted flop and turn with middle pair and got called down by an idiot with K5o, no pair, no draw except a runner-runner gutshot for which he picked up the first half on the turn, and of course he rivers a K.
- I flop 863 with T8 against an extremely loose opponent. 2/3 pot on the flop, he calls. Turn T. YES! Finally, some luck. Pot it. He calls. River 6. Priced in to call his push, since it's only a little more than half the pot, and he's made a big bet pretty much every time the turn or river has paired the board, plus I'm still ahead of a few things, like A8 or T9. Of course he has 65.
And so on. This is all in the span of about four or five hours this morning/early afternoon, remember.
So, despite my better judgement, after calming down a little, I decided to go back and try one more game. This was the second hand. The push was because I'd just 3-bet him the first hand (had KQs) and figured he was testy about it and likely to 3-bet me pretty light. Heads-up donks tend to assume that anyone 3-betting the first hand is always bluffing, and if they get aggressive on the second hand as well, then they're sure of it.
Anyway, the T on the flop was a nice touch, as was the decision to make it a runner-runner flush instead of the more obvious gutshot. The final irony was that the game itself then mimicked the hand - I was given just enough luck to come back from 200 chips and get him down to 350 himself, before the deck went cold once more and I lost after all.
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, 20+1 Tournament, 10/20 Blinds (2 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (Button) (t1620)
Hero's M: 54.00
Preflop: Hero is Button with 10, 10
Hero raises to t60, SB raises to t180, Hero raises to t1620 (All-In), SB calls t1200 (All-In)
Flop: (t2760) K, 10, Q (2 players, 2 all-in)
Turn: (t2760) 4 (2 players, 2 all-in)
River: (t2760) 8 (2 players, 2 all-in)
Total pot: t2760
Hero had 10, 10 (three of a kind, tens).
SB had 9, 9 (flush, King high).
Outcome: SB won t2760
Last edited by Xopods; February 11th, 2009 at 01:55 PM.
February 11th, 2009 #3
- Join Date
- Sep 2008
- PFO Points
Maybe don't push TT?
February 11th, 2009 #4
I'm not exaggerating when I say I lost every single preflop all-in that I was a > 65% favourite today. There were two or three times I actually was behind, notably one guy who kept shoving almost every time I raised preflop. The tenth or so time he did it within maybe 25 hands, I decided it was time to put my foot down and called with KJs. He had AA that time, of course. Maybe he had AA the other ten times too, I don't know. Other than that, though, I was getting my money in good pretty much every time.
However, you're right in the sense that I was getting my money in preflop and on the flop a little more readily today than usual. I win most of my games by getting a good read on my opponent and picking off pots. That way, I don't actually need to survive many races or see many showdowns. Whether or not I was getting my money in good, I was opening myself up to more variance by putting my whole stack at risk in situations where the guy had a 20-35% chance of winning. Still, it's annoying that those 20-35% chances hit 100% of the time.
If you think I'm exaggerating, look me up on Sharkscope and check out my profit graph. It's ridiculous how much I lost today, compared to how consistent I've been over 1,000+ games (if you ignore the first few hundred, which were 5$ games I used to play drunk).
Last edited by Xopods; February 11th, 2009 at 08:26 PM.
February 12th, 2009 #5
Well i ran marginally better this last couple of hours...i said marginally. I still had a hand where i had AK it came AK4. i bet flop and turn. river is Q. This tit has QQ. piss.
February 12th, 2009 #6
Variance is weird. You'd kind of expect that as a good player, you'd have similar numbers of good and bad days, but just make more on the good days than you lose on the bad days... but for me it's more like in a given week, I'll have four +$125 days, one +$200 day, one break-even day, and one horrible -$200 day.
EDIT: Apparently, there are always going to be "aftershocks." Tried playing a two-table SNG for variety. This was the second hand:
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, 10+1 Tournament, 15/30 Blinds (8 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (SB) (t1320)
Hero's M: 29.33
Preflop: Hero is SB with K, K
UTG calls t30, 6 folds, Hero raises to t120, 1 fold, UTG calls t90
Flop: (t270) 7, 8, 8 (2 players)
Hero bets t150, UTG raises to t660, Hero raises to t1200 (All-In), UTG calls t540 (All-In)
Turn: (t2670) 7 (2 players, 2 all-in)
River: (t2670) 5 (2 players, 2 all-in)
Total pot: t2670
Hero had K, K (two pair, Kings and eights).
UTG had 7, K (full house, sevens over eights).
Outcome: UTG won t2670
Last edited by Xopods; February 12th, 2009 at 09:40 AM.
February 12th, 2009 #7
My graph is coming back up in the right direction but ive just had a horrible patch of variance.
I sympathise with you guys.
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