(Cross posted from PTP)


Villain is a reg running 14/11/5.4

Am i ever ahead here? Without any history is this ever a bluff or worse jack?

Full Tilt Poker Game #26019806426: Table Julie - $0.50/$1 - No Limit Hold'em - 07:50:14 ET - 2010/12/01
Seat 1: PizzacatLV ($132.95)
Seat 2: Chris2612 ($98.50)
Seat 3: Anthrax0r ($100)
Seat 4: mikecua ($64.95)
Seat 5: brokeback74 ($95.95)
Seat 6: BigTunna99 ($106.75)
Seat 7: VogelB5 ($203)
Seat 8: 523027 ($84.80)
Seat 9: HotCris_87 ($0), is sitting out
mikecua posts the small blind of $0.50
brokeback74 posts the big blind of $1
The button is in seat #3
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to BigTunna99
BigTunna99 raises to $3
VogelB5 folds
HotCris_87 adds $100
523027 folds
PizzacatLV calls $3
HotCris_87 has returned
Chris2612 folds
Anthrax0r folds
mikecua has 15 seconds left to act
mikecua folds
brokeback74 has 15 seconds left to act
brokeback74 folds
*** FLOP ***
BigTunna99 bets $5
PizzacatLV raises to $17
BigTunna99 calls $12
*** TURN ***
BigTunna99 checks
PizzacatLV has 15 seconds left to act
PizzacatLV bets $27
BigTunna99 calls $27
*** RIVER ***
BigTunna99 checks
PizzacatLV bets $85.95, and is all in
BigTunna99 has 15 seconds left to act
BigTunna99 has timed out
BigTunna99 folds
BigTunna99 adds $40.25
BigTunna99 is sitting out
Uncalled bet of $85.95 returned to PizzacatLV
PizzacatLV mucks
PizzacatLV wins the pot ($92.50)
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $95.50 | Rake $3
Board:
Seat 1: PizzacatLV collected ($92.50), mucked
Seat 2: Chris2612 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 3: Anthrax0r (button) didn't bet (folded)
Seat 4: mikecua (small blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 5: brokeback74 (big blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 6: BigTunna99 folded on the River
Seat 7: VogelB5 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 8: 523027 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 9: HotCris_87 is sitting out


Discuss...

I agree. I dont think he can ever have flopped a full house...he just wouldn't play it like that...I think he'd call your flop bet and hope you keep betting on the turn. I think i'd make a crying call on the river, hoping to see a worse Jack. I have no idea if that play is profitable over the long term!

I don't like how BigTuna goes into what looks to be pot control mode, unless he was letting the hijack hang himself. And if that was the case, he should've called the river. There is only one Jack in the deck, I'm calling often just for that reasoning alone.

I also think it's possible that the villain has a worse Jack, although after I see he's running tightish stats, I'm not so sure.

I'm kind of leaning towards a bluff, or a semi-poorly played Jack (imo). I can't see someone taking the lead in betting if they're so sure of their hand on this semi-dry board.

No, none of these hands are hands that I played. These are all hands cross posted from PTP.

If I had some hand histories saved I'd post them, but since I don't, I'm grabbing some semi-interesting ones from PTP to get some discussion going.

They do have the player's thoughts in the posts (I grab the entire OP) -- history, loose/tight, stats, etc. So there is enough info to have a discussion on the hand. Not to mention that the threads I pulled these out of on PTP had plenty of discussion going.

I mean, if anything else, doing this gets everyone active (when hardly anyone was to begin with) and might encourage new posters to get some hands up of their own. I'm only trying to help. If you don't think this helps, let me know and I'll come up with something else.

Yeah, I understand what you're saying, and agree. I just figured while it's not optimal, it's better than nothing. I really do wish I had my hand histories. I could post tens of hands, if not maybe a couple hundred.

I'll take a look and see if he posted any of this thoughts. I'm grabbing the entire OP, so unless they've included their thoughts later on, they're probably not there. I'll be sure to look in the future though when posting these.