Basically im new on the table no reads at all villian is 53/24 with a AFQ of 27 over 20 hands which is nothing

my thinking is woop great flop lets go for value value value
then he spazs out on the river so im thinking through the hand and im sure he has pocket 4s? k4 just would'nt play preflop, KJ unlikely KQ wouldnt spaz the river like that

maybe 77s? either way solid fold?



Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

Hero ($31.03)
CO ($6.12)
Button ($24.91)
SB ($28.33)
BB ($17.83)
UTG ($23.40)

Preflop: Hero is MP with , . CO posts a blind of $0.25.
UTG calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1, 2 folds, SB calls $0.90, 1 fold, UTG calls $0.75.

Flop: ($3.50) , , (3 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $2.49, SB calls $2.49, UTG folds.

Turn: ($8.48) (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $6.04, SB calls $6.04.

River: ($20.56) (2 players)
SB calls $18.80 (All-In), Hero folds.

Final Pot: $39.36

Results in white below:
SB doesn't show.
Outcome: SB wins $39.36.

Bad fold imo, he might have fours, but he'd make that move with any other two pair as well.

you think he calls with K4 k7 in the small blind? hmmmm i duno. I tanked for a long time on it wish i had more reads.

call river but not thrilled about it

Even on 20 hands the guy is cleary a bad LAG, you dont end up playing >50% of hands even over a small sample without being bad. 44 is possible QTss, AQss, ATss, T9ss, K7 all make sence as value shoves on the river, I think you are beating a tiny% of his river valueshove range as I KQ/AK/AA are far more unlikely though possible putting the villain as spazzy. It's always hard to add in a bluff % but I think even with that this is a fold, QTo and some of the gutshots might bluff but I think overall it's a fold as the gutshots likely don't call turn without spades.

no, i can easily be 12/10 or 60/40 over any given 20 hand sample

I guess what I said is less valid at 6max but none the less it means he has limped or called 6 times out of the 20 and raised 5, which is quite a lot and statisticly unlikely for a 20/17 who would have only limped/called <1 hand so far on average. Stats are deffinately against him being tight/solid even over a small sample.

no