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Go Back PokerForums.org > Strategy Discussion > Ring Hand Analysis > NL50 flush facing shove on board pairing river

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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 04-22-2008, 05:58 PM
classickred's Avatar
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Default NL50 flush facing shove on board pairing river

cake poker - anyone know a good converter for posting hands?


POKERSTARS GAME #478011401002253: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($0.25/$0.5) - 2008/04/22 - 20:32:06 (ET)
Table 'Cake_ Pebble Beach 11401' 6-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: bere*** ($43.05 in chips)
Seat 3: SIBE*** ($80.38 in chips)
Seat 8: DaCr*** ($28.50 in chips)
Seat 9: garh*** ($65.10 in chips)
Seat 10: classickred ($48.75 in chips)
DaCr***: posts small blind $0.25
garh***: posts big blind $0.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to classickred [5h 6h]
classickred: raises $1.50 to $2.00
bere***: folds
SIBE***: calls $2.00
DaCr***: calls $1.75
garh***: folds
*** FLOP *** [9h 4s 8h] (Pot=6.50)
DaCr***: checks
classickred: bets $4.00
SIBE***: calls $4.00
DaCr***: folds
*** TURN *** [9h 4s 8h] [3h] (Pot=14.50)
classickred: bets $9.00
SIBE***: calls $9.00
*** RIVER *** [9h 4s 8h 3h] [9s] (Pot=32.50)
classickred: checks
SIBE***: bets $16.25
classickred: ??
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Old 04-22-2008, 06:12 PM
classickred's Avatar
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thoughts:

-bet more on flop, 5+
-bet more on turn, 12+
-stoveaments:
135 games 0.005 secs 27,000 games/sec

Board: 9h 4s 8h 3h 9s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 88.148% 88.15% 00.00% 119 0.00 { 6h5h }
Hand 1: 11.852% 11.85% 00.00% 16 0.00 { TT+, 88, 44, AhKh, AhQh, AhJh, AhTh, A9s, Ah8h, Ah7h, Ah6h, Ah5h, Ah4h, Ah3h, Ah2h, K9s, Q9s, J9s+, T9s, 96s+, 76s, 65s, A9o-A8o, K9o, Q9o, J9o+, T9o, 76o, 65o }
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Old 04-22-2008, 06:18 PM
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more on flop and turn makes river an autoshove. any reads on the guy? can't really see how you can fold for half pot here, you'd assume sets raise the turn. i think by checking you induce so you have to call.
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Old 04-22-2008, 06:20 PM
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actually b/f for 15 is pretty sexy since i doubt he ever raises 9x
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Old 04-23-2008, 04:25 PM
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bet bigger on every street and shove the river

he wont fold trips
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Old 04-24-2008, 12:02 AM
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I'd only check river if they were crazy aggro and love to bluff, then i crai. Against an unknown I just shove river. Squeezy is right about bet sizing too.

pf, I'm not crazy raising 56s UTG, sure it's 5 handed and a good part of a LAG game but I think playing a little tighter from EP will be better at 50nl.
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Old 04-24-2008, 09:16 PM
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I'd simply call this river. He seems really strong and could either have a better flush or a boat.

I don't mind the 56s raise from UTG, though it's not my style most days. Your post flop bets need to be stronger (I agree with 5,12).

Check/calling the river is your best bet. He is giving you this showdown at a discount. As this played out, I wouldn't feel overly confident with a low flush here.
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Old 05-07-2008, 09:19 AM
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yeah your betsizing here is a major leak imo
I would bet/shove every street and make my sizes 5.50, 15, shove
As played call river
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