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Go Back PokerForums.org > Strategy Discussion > Ring Hand Analysis > NL10 - Should this be standard?

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Old 10-24-2007, 10:26 PM
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Default NL10 - Should this be standard?

I know the board is a little iffy but would you consider this standard against a villain with these stats: 50/21/~ over only 10 hands. I honestly figured if he had an overpair it was just bad luck.

PokerStars Game Hold'em No Limit ($0.05/$0.10)
Seat 2: KRE8R ($9.40 in chips)
Seat 3: papadiop ($9.30 in chips)
Seat 4: DarthKenzo ($5.25 in chips)
Seat 5: fdresn ($7.85 in chips)
Seat 6: Koshy89 ($4.55 in chips)
papadiop: posts small blind $0.05
DarthKenzo: posts big blind $0.10
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to KRE8R [ ]
fdresn: folds
Koshy89: folds
KRE8R: raises $0.30 to $0.40
papadiop: folds
DarthKenzo: calls $0.30
*** FLOP *** [ ]
DarthKenzo: checks
KRE8R: bets $0.60
DarthKenzo: raises $0.60 to $1.20
KRE8R: raises $4.30 to $5.50


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Old 10-24-2007, 10:28 PM
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I don't think he has an overpair because he didn't reraise PF. 99 or TT maybe. I'd be more worried about A4.
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Old 10-24-2007, 10:29 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by triple-t View Post
I don't think he has an overpair because he didn't reraise PF. 99 or TT maybe. I'd be more worried about A4.
Yeah I thought so. Figured A4 was relatively unlikely. Was hoping he would stack off with A5 or something.
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Old 10-24-2007, 10:36 PM
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I don't think its standard but I dont see anything wrong with it
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Old 10-24-2007, 10:39 PM
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equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 35.781% 33.89% 01.89% 24157 1348.00 { 8d8h }
Hand 1: 64.219% 62.33% 01.89% 44427 1348.00 { TT-22, A5s-A4s, 53s, 32s, A5o-A4o }


I'm not loving the shove
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Old 10-24-2007, 10:46 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by piv View Post
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 35.781% 33.89% 01.89% 24157 1348.00 { 8d8h }
Hand 1: 64.219% 62.33% 01.89% 44427 1348.00 { TT-22, A5s-A4s, 53s, 32s, A5o-A4o }


I'm not loving the shove
With that board??

Board: 3h 2s 5c

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 66.163% 64.79% 01.37% 368181 7795.00 { 8d8h }
Hand 1: 33.837% 32.47% 01.37% 184489 7795.00 { 33+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T8o+, 98o }
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Last edited by KRE8R; 10-24-2007 at 10:51 PM.
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Old 10-25-2007, 12:41 AM
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You have to adjust the range for what he'll call with. is he going to call you with Q7o on that board?

My enumeration is using the flop.
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:01 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by piv View Post
You have to adjust the range for what he'll call with. is he going to call you with Q7o on that board?

My enumeration is using the flop.
So was mine. Our math is different somewhere. Help me out.
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:33 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KRE8R View Post
So was mine. Our math is different somewhere. Help me out.
The range you're using is wrong buddy. It looks like you've just given him a range of 50% which is the same as his vpip, the thing is he's not calling a shove with all of that range.

The range I gave him is the hands he's calling with, whether you beat them or not, and stove spits out your equity against that range.

Of course if he wants to call with junk like J7o then he can be our guest, but it's super unlikely that he has KK or AA, see what I mean?
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Old 10-25-2007, 04:28 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by piv View Post
The range you're using is wrong buddy. It looks like you've just given him a range of 50% which is the same as his vpip, the thing is he's not calling a shove with all of that range.

The range I gave him is the hands he's calling with, whether you beat them or not, and stove spits out your equity against that range.

Of course if he wants to call with junk like J7o then he can be our guest, but it's super unlikely that he has KK or AA, see what I mean?
Yes I understand that. I also went back and removed all but hands he would call with and I was still a favourite. How did you determine your list of hands he would call with?
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