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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 04-04-2007, 03:22 PM
Mr.McJ's Avatar
Stu Ungar
 
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Default Play the River

Villain is 25% VP / 7.0% PF / 1 AGF over 50 hands.
Check/call and how much?
Check/fold?
Block bet and how much?



PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed)

SB ($64)
BB ($105.95)
UTG ($28.40)
UTG+1 ($95)
Hero ($122.05)
MP2 ($100)
CO ($100)
Button ($131.80)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with , .
2 folds, Hero raises to $3, MP2 calls $3, 4 folds.

Flop: ($7.50) , , (2 players)
Hero bets $5, MP2 calls $5.

Turn: ($17.50) (2 players)
Hero bets $14, MP2 calls $14.

River: ($45.50) (2 players)

Hero.....?

Results in white below:
Hero checks.
Villain bets $23.
Hero types in the chatbox "it better not be 77"
Hero calls
Hero has Jc Jd (one pair, jacks).
MP2 has 2s 2d (straight, six high).
Outcome: MP2 wins $91.50.
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  #2 (permalink)  
Old 04-04-2007, 03:32 PM
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Default

I think I check/fold here. I don't mind a check/call too much though, maybe I'm just too tight though.

EDIT: If I check/call it isn't for more than half the pot. I don't like a blocking bet here.
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  #3 (permalink)  
Old 04-04-2007, 04:13 PM
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i'm down for the check / call. i'm hoping the straight scares them as much as me. looking for the check /check but will make the call.
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  #4 (permalink)  
Old 04-04-2007, 04:37 PM
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i think u should raise a lil harder pf, and bet the flop harder as well.

as played, I think u should either block bet for 15-16$, or check-call any bet under 25$, and fold to anythign larger
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  #5 (permalink)  
Old 04-04-2007, 04:43 PM
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I would bet 30 and possibly call a reraise.

No need to put him on a strait, or a set. 2 pair will suck.
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  #6 (permalink)  
Old 04-04-2007, 09:46 PM
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we have no reason to believe he has the straight here. i would bet 25 or so about halfpot'ish and hope he has QT or w/e
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  #7 (permalink)  
Old 04-05-2007, 01:00 AM
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hahah I just read the results. WTF. That is the sickest donkey I have ever seen. I'd be so furious.
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  #8 (permalink)  
Old 04-05-2007, 02:57 AM
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Stu Ungar
 
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I'm surprised that gder and bboy aren't afraid of the straight here. I didn't put him on 22 but 77 is definitely possible (calling me down with only 1 overcard.)
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  #9 (permalink)  
Old 04-05-2007, 03:01 AM
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I put him on 77-99. I was very surprised to see the results, especially considering his stats.

Having said that an AF of 1 - does that not make him a calling station?

Last edited by Meldon; 04-05-2007 at 03:04 AM.
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  #10 (permalink)  
Old 04-05-2007, 06:05 AM
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The guy's AF is 1.

Lead river for like $20. Check/calling's not bad, but he checks behind with too many hands we beat that he'll call $18-$27 on the river.
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