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  1. #1
    River Rat
    Join Date
    Mar 2008
    Posts
    438

    Default FAKE TILT DEFYING ODDS....

    4 STRAIGHT ALL INS PREFLOP. SOMEONE PLEASE TELL ME THE ODDS OF LOSING ALL 4 OF THESE HANDS.

    K9 vs K 2, AQ vs AJ, 2 pair vs a gutshot on the flop, and then...AK vs AJ.

    I lost those 4 pushes in a row. would love to know the odds on that.

    sweep

  2. #2
    River Rat
    Join Date
    Mar 2008
    Posts
    438

    Default

    AHAHAHAH..NO FKKING LIE. JUST LOST A2 to K2...flopped a King. Would love to know the odds of 5 straight pushes (not hands)..just times where all $$ was pushed in and 5 loses.

  3. #3
    Poker Hustler 22Fish's Avatar
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    Jun 2008
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    1,132

    Default

    www.pokerstove.com is your friend. Probablility of 5 in a row = 5 of them multiplied together. Going to guess 0.032%
    Last edited by 22Fish; 01-22-2010 at 07:18 AM.

  4. #4
    piv
    piv is offline
    Stu Ungar piv's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Posts
    2,740

    Default

    chances of this happening are probably the same as the chances that you're good at poker

  5. #5
    Fish Food
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    25

    Default

    yeah it is better to see the flop before you go all in. Suck out hands win 80 percent of the time on tilt and jokerstars. I do not really see why any one would want to play online poker for money. I play the free rolls and some low low stakes but I know computer programmers who can hack all kinds of stuff and online poker can and does get compromised.

    I just lost a king high flush draw on 4 aces and the last one came on the river. I have been playing live poker for 6 years and have never seen 4 of a kind in a live event ever. Seen a straight flush but never 4 of a kind. Just really does not happen like ever.......

  6. #6
    Fish Food
    Join Date
    Feb 2009
    Posts
    22

    Default

    sorry no way have you been playing six years. Quads are pretty run of the mill, ive been playing four years and see them at least three or four times a week if not more. On the other hand ive seen a straight flush five times, one of them my own.If you've been playing six years then you should know that the odds of hitting a straight flush are huge, its the second nuts behind a royal flush. Quads are pretty easy to hit.

  7. #7
    River Rat Sid_07's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
    Wisconsin
    Posts
    300

    Default

    Just because you lost 4 in a row does not mean you are going to win the next time. Cards have no memory. Its like playing roulette just because it hit black 4 times in a row doesn't mean its more likely to hit red. The odds of winning hand 5 is the same whether you won the last 4 or lost the last 4.

    Does it suck to get the money in as a 80 percent favorite and lose yeah, but it happens. Does it suck to lose 4 or 5 in a row yeah, but it happens. You got the money in good, after that all you can do is wait to see which way the chips go.

    You will will again

  8. #8
    River Rat
    Join Date
    Mar 2008
    Posts
    438

    Default

    but how many times have you seen red 10 times...cause the odds of 10 in a row is terrible. I see your logic, but look at it from that perspective. OH..by the way..just got knocked out right before the money with QQ vs A4 in one tourny and AK vs KQ in another. NO lie...

  9. #9
    Fish Food
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    12

    Default

    full tilt freaking sucks my ass.

  10. #10
    River Rat Sid_07's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
    Wisconsin
    Posts
    300

    Default

    If you can't handle the bad beats stop playing in tournements and start playing in cash games. Lot less bad beats because you are rarely allin preflop w/ AK vs KQ or QQ vs A4.

    QQ vs A4 of spades is only a 66% percent favorite not really a bad beat

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