To win long term at Poker a positive frame of mind is essential, and people who claim it is rigged or who constantly moan at the suck-outs they suffer from are basically the players who approach the game negatively and only remember the crazy beats that happen online when they are on the wrong end.
I`m nothing special as a poker player, i play too tight and i`m shit at playing certain kinds of hole cards and flops. But i`m a winning gambler on the horses and have been for a dozen years or so and in that sphere my strike rate is usually between 20-25% - so positivity or the ability to think long term are essential qualities one must have. So i transfer those qualities to the poker table even if that means just being a nearly breaking even kind of player.
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Thread: Winning Long Term Online
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06-25-2008 #131
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06-28-2008 #132Mike McDermott
- Join Date
- Apr 2006
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- Brunson, Amarillo, Crandall? Do I need to say more.
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- 3,429
Full Tilt Poker Game #7005313417: $11,500 Guarantee (52543454), Table 3 - 120/240 Ante 25 - No Limit Hold'em - 13:44:13 ET - 2008/06/28
Seat 1: MilanoJackson (20,296)
Seat 2: Hryo-1 (6,630)
Seat 3: Bagonirix (1,819)
Seat 4: Squamch (11,850)
Seat 5: BeeeBack (8,180)
Seat 6: Bar-Keen (5,455)
Seat 7: SebbyGl (1,990), is sitting out
Seat 9: Rolle3 (9,645)
MilanoJackson antes 25
Hryo-1 antes 25
Bagonirix antes 25
Squamch antes 25
BeeeBack antes 25
Bar-Keen antes 25
SebbyGl antes 25
Rolle3 antes 25
Squamch posts the small blind of 120
BeeeBack posts the big blind of 240
The button is in seat #3
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Bagonirix [Ks Kc]
Bar-Keen folds
SebbyGl folds
Rolle3 folds
MilanoJackson folds
Hryo-1 raises to 6,605, and is all in
Bagonirix calls 1,794, and is all in
incogneato43 sits down
incogneato43 adds 25,797
Squamch has 15 seconds left to act
Squamch folds
BeeeBack folds
Hryo-1 shows [Th Td]
Bagonirix shows [Ks Kc]
Uncalled bet of 4,811 returned to Hryo-1
*** FLOP *** [Qh Ah 7h]
*** TURN *** [Qh Ah 7h] [5s]
*** RIVER *** [Qh Ah 7h 5s] [Tc]
Hryo-1 shows three of a kind, Tens
Bagonirix shows a pair of Kings
Hryo-1 wins the pot (4,148) with three of a kind, Tens
Bagonirix stands upidkmybffjill?
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06-28-2008 #133
That's the way it goes man...........end of the day KK is just a pair of kings...
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06-28-2008 #134
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06-28-2008 #135
has this turned into a stars is rigged thread yeT?
cos it is.
the motherfuckers are rigged
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06-28-2008 #136River Rat
- Join Date
- Mar 2008
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- 439
Everyone I talk to laughs at FullTilt. I had a classic tourny tonight. Built a decent stack of chips until my AK suited lost to KQ all in preflop. Then (to get knocked out) I flop a straight vs 2 pair. We both get all in, and he catches the boat on the river. Two all ins where I'm up 73% and 81% and lose. OH...it's just one night..it's just 2 hands. hahah. It's EVERY NIGHT at FullTilt.
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07-19-2008 #137Fish Food
- Join Date
- Jan 2008
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- 16
Here's a thought, if you had 3 times during a tourney where you went allin with an overpair (80% chance to win), the chance of surviving all of them is only a coinflip (51.2% chance to be exact). So while 80% seems like an incredible advantage, over the course of a tourney winning multiple hands is not very likely. And that's with an 80/20 hand, winning 3 60/40 hands only comes out to a 21.6% chance, so basically u won't win all of the 60/40 hands.
That being said, I too get knocked out of tourneys all the time with the better hand. The number of times I've been left muttering to myself how unbelievable that was, then joining another tourney only to have the same thing happen again, and so on. In fact I quit playing PokerStars all together because of how suspicious I was of the fairness of the cards. I started playing FullTilt about a month ago, and the bad beats were kept to a minimum, I built up a nice profit, well until the last 2 days where the bad beats have been horrendous. But that's too small of a sample size to really have an opinion on it.
I won't say online poker is 'rigged', because I know the flaming I would get and this thread would be instantly deleted from the internet. But from bad luck I saw on PokerStars, I was suspicious enough to stop playing all together.
And one last thing, someone could prove statistically whether an online site is fair or not. All you would need is a very large set of showdown hand histories, then you could calculate what the win percentage should be, and compare it to the actual results. The larger the set of hand histories, the closer those values should be. I thought about writing a program to do that, but I don't have enough showdown hand histories to prove anything yet.
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07-21-2008 #138
Yes play more, work on your game selection and bank roll management. There is no shame in playing lower limits until you learn how to win and this can take a long time depending on your skill level. Those that can't win mostly just lack discipline and focus on the negatives and are not honest with themselves about their play. Read and study poker. I forget the book but some poker player wrote a great piece about how the 10th best player in the world was not very good if he was sitting at the table with the 9 people in the world that were better than him. Or if a poker player ran over the games every night and blew it all at the craps tables it wasn't really relevant how good he was at poker because he would be broke.
Also, choose a good place to play poker and get the most benefits you can. Online I think the softest games are at Cake Poker and Bodog for US players.
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07-21-2008 #139
it's just Stars that is rigged, maybe FT to some extent as well
other sites are just fine, you can play with confidence
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07-27-2008 #140Fish Food
- Join Date
- Jan 2007
- Posts
- 16
Sweeper,
I read a few pages of this post but not all so someone may have commented about this already I also read a couple of your other posts on the board and have a question for you. Other than the higher buyins you have been playing lately what is the avg stake you are playing? Reason I ask is because before I built a big enough bankroll to play $20 and above sng's I had to play in donkey land and try to survive on $5 and under sng's. I had to dodge so many cards from piss poor players it was like walking through a mine field blind folded. Once I got up to the $20, $30, $50 and $100 levels the play was significantly better and I didn't have to continuously dodge so much garbage. With that said, I still take horrible beats on the higher tables but they aren't as often as they are in donkey land. Don't get me wrong there are donks on the bigger tables too but instead of the lower tables having 6-7/9 donks per table you might have 2-3/9 per table on the bigger tables. That has been my experience anyways. Obviously that is just a guess as to the amount of donkeys per table in regard to the buyin but the fact holds true for me that I have experienced substantially less brutal play(ie, having to dodge a hand that shouldn't have been called in the first place) at the $20 and above level. If you look at my sharkscope that is exactly my story at higher buyins my ROI is much higher. Just don't make the mistake of depositing more and jumping up levels until you gain the necessary experience and feel comfortable. Btw - in regard to your post about having 4-7 and you folding to a flop of 7-Q-7....I'm definitely snap calling the other guys all-in there with trip 7's!!! Everyone's gotta make mistakes to learn so let that be a lesson. Goodluck!Last edited by Skidoorcng; 07-27-2008 at 12:27 PM.
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