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  1. 02-09-2006 #1
    MTdemocrat
    MTdemocrat is offline
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    Default Guess what I want?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (9 handed) converter

    MP1 (t960)
    MP2 (t2090)
    MP3 (t6995)
    CO (t1110)
    Button (t1700)
    SB (t1822)
    Hero (t2890)
    UTG (t2919)
    UTG+1 (t904)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with , .
    UTG calls t50, UTG+1 raises to t100, 2 folds, MP3 calls t100, 2 folds, SB calls t75, Hero calls t50, UTG calls t50.

    Flop: (t500) , , (5 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets t50, UTG calls t50, UTG+1 folds, MP3 raises to t500, SB folds, Hero folds, UTG folds.

    Final Pot: t1100

    Results in white below:
    No showdown. MP3 wins t1100.

    Should I call w/ the gutshot? Is he trying to push me? I guess knowing EQ and pot odds would be nice.

    I only have 4 outs correct (the 4 queens) to make the straight. Which is what a 8 percent chance?
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  2. 02-09-2006 #2
    Marm
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    Default

    WTF is with that bet? Just check. If you are goign to bet, make it 300+, but thats a pure bluff, hardly a semi-bluff.

    There are 4 outs, the 4 queens, if you think thats all you have. Therefore, you have a 2% chance per each street to hit your queens. So if you call, and want to see the river you need 6-1 odds, and just to see the turn you need 10-1.
    Marm is back, maybe. Been off for 3 years. Rusty as Hell.

    Luck is a Residue of Design.
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  3. 02-09-2006 #3
    MTdemocrat
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    So be more aggressive with the draw?

    So it is a good laydown, made neccesary because I played weak with a gutshot draw?
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  4. 02-09-2006 #4
    razorburn
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    I thought that's about 8% chance to hit the Q on each street? 4 outs *4/2?
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  5. 02-09-2006 #5
    Marm
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    2% per out per street... sorry typo....
    Marm is back, maybe. Been off for 3 years. Rusty as Hell.

    Luck is a Residue of Design.
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  6. 02-09-2006 #6
    KINGJACK
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by MTdemocrat
    So be more aggressive with the draw?

    So it is a good laydown, made neccesary because I played weak with a gutshot draw?
    No... dont be more agresive with the draw! Check fold this hand, plain and simple!

    But if you want to bet, I would'nt cause there is to much chances 5 handed that a guy is playing KJ, KQ, KT or even QJ, be sure that your bet can make a weak K think and fold.

    A 50$ bet in a 500$ pot will draw a raise from any pair or any big draw and force you to fold!

    KJ
    Originally Posted by Girevik
    Heck, I've seen people go nuts with middle pair!
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  7. 02-09-2006 #7
    gder03
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    dude this is like a 5 way pot. betting 10% is... bad.

    if this was 2 or 3 way, a min. bet can be a defensive play, but in this situation it will achive nothing. Also when you say: "should I call w/ gutshot, is he bulling me around?"

    the only hand that you beat is a 9 high. so, if you think he is bullying you with a 9 high... call. (but ye shall lose).

    gl
    I get more ass than a toilet seat. All shapes/colors/sizes.

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