Well, you needed to reraise after the flop to give your Js a chance to win. This scared off some potential callers who might have sweetened the pot. On the other hand, they may have had a better flush draw. Even though your hand is very vulnerable, I kind of like the play after the flop. MP's bet on the turn tells me that he doesn't have an Ace and is a little scared of the A that hit the turn. If he didn't come over the top on the flop and bet small on the turn, I don't put him on a set, 2 pair, or Ax. He either has a flush/str8 draw, Qx, Jx or maybe pp. So the only possible hand that I could see him having that beats you on the river is Kxh. If he has this, he's only worried about Axh. If he's smart, he wouldn't put you on the Ah, so he would probably have bet higher on the river. Since he didn't bet more on the river, he thinks his hand is vulnerable. You probably should have reraised for value. If I had to guess, I would say T9h.
Last edited by ypsieast; 02-08-2006 at 01:51 PM.
|