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  1. #1
    Stu Ungar Mr.McJ's Avatar
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    Default If the odds are there, are you obligated to call?

    Or should I have folded on the flop and/or turn?


    Texas Hold'em $0.25-$0.25 NL (real money), hand #76,418,403
    Table Pensacola, 2 Feb 2006 05:28 PM



    View Previous | Next hand for this table.



    Seat 1: flaak ($26.40 in chips)
    Seat 2: maddogi ($14.15 in chips)
    Seat 3: Boots311 ($12 in chips)
    Seat 4: J__D ($25 in chips)
    Seat 5: MrMcj [AD,KD] ($25.65 in chips)
    Seat 6: --grumpy-- ($15.55 in chips)
    Seat 7: lough... ($13.40 in chips)
    Seat 9: djc47x ($37 in chips)
    Seat 10: likemally ($19.90 in chips)



    ANTES/BLINDS
    djc47x posts blind ($0.15), likemally posts blind ($0.25), Boots311 posts blind ($0.25), lough... posts blind ($0.25).

    PRE-FLOP
    flaak calls $0.25, maddogi folds, Boots311 checks, J__D calls $0.25, MrMcj bets $1.50, --grumpy-- calls $1.50, lough... folds, djc47x folds, likemally folds, flaak folds, Boots311 folds, J__D calls $1.25.

    FLOP [board cards 6C,QD,4D ]
    J__D checks, MrMcj bets $3, --grumpy-- folds, J__D bets $6, MrMcj calls $3.

    TURN [board cards 6C,QD,4D,5C ]
    J__D bets $5, MrMcj calls $5.

    RIVER [board cards 6C,QD,4D,5C,8H ]
    J__D bets $4.50, MrMcj folds.

    SHOWDOWN
    J__D wins $31.65.



    SUMMARY
    Dealer: lough...
    Pot: $32.15, (including rake: $0.50)
    flaak, loses $0.25
    maddogi, loses $0
    Boots311, loses $0.25
    J__D, bets $17, collects $31.65, net $14.65
    MrMcj, loses $12.50
    --grumpy--, loses $1.50
    lough..., loses $0.25
    djc47x, loses $0.15
    likemally, loses $0.25
    Last edited by Mr.McJ; 02-02-2006 at 03:39 PM.

  2. #2
    Check Raiser Aces-o-8s's Avatar
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    Default

    You have two overcards - worth seeing the turn but when you don't improve you have to figure your too far behind and 6.7:1 to connect on the river. Even if you catch an Ace or King, your opps might also have that card for 2 pair - folding time imo.

  3. #3
    Stu Ungar Mr.McJ's Avatar
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Aces-o-8s
    You have two overcards - worth seeing the turn but when you don't improve you have to figure your too far behind and 6.7:1 to connect on the river. Even if you catch an Ace or King, your opps might also have that card for 2 pair - folding time imo.
    But what about the flush draw? Am I not 4 to 1 to make my flush on the river?

  4. #4
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    if you do not call when you have odds you are losing money.

    you could have played the flop harder, you have great equity.

    I am not a NL cash guy though.

  5. #5
    Stu Ungar Mr.McJ's Avatar
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Beavis68
    if you do not call when you have odds you are losing money.

    you could have played the flop harder, you have great equity.

    I am not a NL cash guy though.
    Play the flop harder? So bet bigger or re-raise his check-raise?

  6. #6
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    uhm, yes.

  7. #7
    Stu Ungar Mr.McJ's Avatar
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    Default

    So what do you think he had then? Do think I could have pushed him off the hand?
    (Unfortunately I didn't have much of a read on the guy as I hadn't been sitting at the table long.)

  8. #8
    Check Raiser
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    He could have had anything from AQ to QQ to 23s for his flush draw. I wouldn't mind getting your money in here on the flop, especially if you're the one betting.
    -You may not know this, but poker is a game of incomplete information.

  9. #9
    Poker Professional Eclipse86's Avatar
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    i probably bet the potsize here on the flop.
    if he min raises, then call and try to catch that flush.
    if he leads out again on the turn - im figuring that he has at least AQ, and that the A is a dead out for you, either that or he has flopped a set and both your A and K are dead outs.

  10. #10
    Check Raiser
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    On your question... it's a much bigger error to fold a pot where you have proper equity, then to call one where you are a bit short of proper odds.

    Say you have 10% equity and are getting only 8-1 to call. calling with bad odds here costs you .1 of a bet (spending .9 bets to protect .8 bets equity). Now say you're getting 9-1 to call... folding costs you .9 bets, which is 9 times as big a mistake.
    -You may not know this, but poker is a game of incomplete information.

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