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Thread: Heads up pot

  1. #1
    Stu Ungar KINGJACK's Avatar
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    Default Heads up pot

    .25/.50 NL
    I'm button with AdQd

    3 limpers
    I raise it to 3$
    BB calls
    limpers folds

    Flop
    Qx 7d 5d

    BB bet 6$
    I raise to 12$
    BB go all in for 39$ (45$ including is 1st bet)

    What do you do?
    Originally Posted by Girevik
    Heck, I've seen people go nuts with middle pair!

  2. #2
    River Rat
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    You only have a 30% chance of winning against a set, which is what im assuming you are against, maybe 7s or 5s, also might be KK. I dont know, had this person been defending their blind alot?

  3. #3
    Stu Ungar KINGJACK's Avatar
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by 11 11
    You only have a 30% chance of winning against a set, which is what im assuming you are against, maybe 7s or 5s, also might be KK. I dont know, had this person been defending their blind alot?
    Definately defend blinds a lot... but play pretty well for what I saw.

    KJ
    Originally Posted by Girevik
    Heck, I've seen people go nuts with middle pair!

  4. #4
    Mike McDermott gder03's Avatar
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    Default

    i push this quite fast.
    I get more ass than a toilet seat. All shapes/colors/sizes.

    caution:
    http://girlvideos.blogspot.com/

  5. #5
    Check Raiser
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    You're getting 2-1 in the pot.

    You have to put your opponent on a strong range of hands... a set, an overpair, 2-pair, a pair of Queens, a flush draw.

    A set you're in trouble against... you do not have the odds to call here. 2-pair you have a varying number of outs... from 14 to 12, while he has only 4 (or fewer) redraw outs. You're right around even in equity against 2-pair.

    A flush draw without a pair is drawing virtually dead. This is his bluffing hand though.

    An overpair is unlikely because you said he's a good player, and a good player doesn't slowplay AA or KK when there's that kind of raise from the button, but it IS a possibility.

    If he has a random Queen he is drawing virtually dead... but that is the most unlikely of all.

    Figuring he has a 10% chance of bluffing and dividing the rest of it up as 10% overpair, 50% set, 30% 2-pair... I would guess you have around 35-40% total pot equity here, or 1.5-1 against. I would lean towards calling. Of course, I could have his range way off... there are some players who would ONLY make this play with a set and you shouldn't be calling there. There are also plenty of players who make this play with KQ and against that aggressive a player you simply cannot fold your big hand.
    -You may not know this, but poker is a game of incomplete information.

  6. #6
    Poker Professional Eclipse86's Avatar
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    Default

    i push this as well.. if he has a set, then u still got some outs to outdraw him.. if he has KK.. then ur a favourite to win the pot.. if hes bluffing then then u have pretty much won the pot.. also i doubt a set would have bet out this hard on the flop.. most likely if he had one, he would have check-raised.

  7. #7
    Stu Ungar KINGJACK's Avatar
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    I pushed here as well...

    I really tought he was on KQ or QJ, but he was on KK, and of course I did'nt hit... if I hit I dont even post it...

    I'm happy to see most of you would have pushed in in those 3 situations, but I have bad news for you: YOU WOULD HAVE LOST!!!!!

    I hope poker gods will put me in better situations soon... really soon... cause despite the fact I cased in 5 of my last 9 MTTs in cluding a victory and another top 5, my bankroll has decreased. Unbelivable...

    KJ
    Originally Posted by Girevik
    Heck, I've seen people go nuts with middle pair!

  8. #8
    Poker Professional Eclipse86's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by KINGJACK
    I pushed here as well...

    I really tought he was on KQ or QJ, but he was on KK, and of course I did'nt hit... if I hit I dont even post it...

    I'm happy to see most of you would have pushed in in those 3 situations, but I have bad news for you: YOU WOULD HAVE LOST!!!!!

    I hope poker gods will put me in better situations soon... really soon... cause despite the fact I cased in 5 of my last 9 MTTs in cluding a victory and another top 5, my bankroll has decreased. Unbelivable...

    KJ
    take a break from the cash games?? yo if u have the bankroll, u should try some .50/1 games.. there alot easier to read people... whats ur bankroll at anyway?

  9. #9
    Stu Ungar KINGJACK's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eclipse86
    take a break from the cash games?? yo if u have the bankroll, u should try some .50/1 games.. there alot easier to read people... whats ur bankroll at anyway?
    around 1000$ after my last cash out and these bad series of cards...

    So i'm realy under rolled for .50/1.00

    KJ
    Originally Posted by Girevik
    Heck, I've seen people go nuts with middle pair!

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