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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 01-02-2006, 06:22 AM
Dizzy_Fuzz's Avatar
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Default A hand to push with...

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Button (t1445)
SB (t1590)
BB (t1670)
UTG (t1020)
UTG+1 (t2190)
Hero (t1100)
MP2 (t1620)
MP3 (t1435)
CO (t2930)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with , .
1 fold, UTG+1 calls t50, Hero raises to t250, 3 folds, Button raises to t1445, 2 folds, UTG+1 folds, Hero calls t850 (All-In).

Flop: (t2670) , , (2 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: (t2670) (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: (t2670) (2 players, 1 all-in)

Final Pot: t2670

Results in white below:
Hero has Jd Jc (one pair, jacks).
Button has Kh Ah (one pair, aces).
Outcome: Button wins t2670.


Its nice to know that I was slight favourite preflop although I didnt realise it was as close as 57:43 that bit is a bit of a shock to me... I always thought it was much more of a gap over that certain hand but I guess not.

Playing in a turbo and having the blind structure like it is means that sometimes you have to take a coin flip to build a stack - although in the following tournament I was dealt many hands and allowed to steal pots quite often as the blinds went up.... I consequently won it.

Last edited by Dizzy_Fuzz; 01-02-2006 at 08:57 AM.
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  #2 (permalink)  
Old 01-02-2006, 10:40 AM
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Default

Don't like your call, unless this guy has a Hx of doing crap like this. YOu made it quite clear you have a good hand, and then he made it even more clear that he likes his better. You are only looking at AK, AA, KK, or QQ here IMHO vs a decent player. And as you found out, you are basically break even vs AK.

Lets look at a EV breakdown given this hand range:

There are 16 ways for him to have AK, and 6 ways each for him to have AA-QQ each (53% of the 34 possible combinations). Vs AK, JJ is a 56/44 favorite, and vs AA-QQ its a 81.5/18.5 dog.

So vs with the 16 ways to have AK we win 1570 56% of the time:
1570 x .56 = 879.2 x .47= +413.2

Vs the 18 AA-QQ, we lose 1100 (and our tournament) 81.5% of the time:
-1100 x .815 = -896.5 x .53 = -475.1

Adding those two numbers together, we get -61.9, whihc means, every time you make this call, you are losing 62TC, making this a -EV move.
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