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Thread: Odds Odds Odds.

  1. #1
    Chaser
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    Default Odds Odds Odds.

    Well, I have basically gotten down the "outs probability" (surprisingly easy), but other aspects are very hard to calculate for the normal person. For example, "if I have high suitors, what are the chances I'll get a flush flop(I heard it was like 1:144 or something)?" or "what are the odds I'll get a flush DRAW on the flop with those suitors?". And on and on...I'd really like to know the math to almost any situation.

    Does anyone know of a good "poker probability" site? I found some, but they are not what I was looking for exactly.

    Edit: I play NL Hold em exclusively, I thought I should mention this because the odds will obviously be much different in different games.
    Last edited by Blur86; 11-14-2005 at 06:00 AM.

  2. #2
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    Default ODDS

    Hey,

    I had this in one of my bookmarks....tough to memorize (I havent yet), but it sure is helpful.
    http://www.pokersourceonline.com/learn/odds.asp

  3. #3
    Check Raiser Aces-o-8s's Avatar
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  4. #4
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    Default

    the first one doesn't work but the second one is great.

    regardless thanks for the suggestions, and any more links that go even deeper into odds would be great. the 2nd one goes into great detail, and it is all I'll need for awhile probably, but I bet I'll need more in the future.
    Last edited by Blur86; 11-14-2005 at 12:39 PM.

  5. #5
    Mike McDermott gder03's Avatar
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    im guessing its about 1:20 to make a flush +/- 5. so knowing this, how will this info help you pf? the pot will never give you odds pf, so in my mind its useless info.
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  6. #6
    Poker Hustler Diggler's Avatar
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    http://pokerstove.com/

    Check this link out
    Quote Originally Posted by poker player 100 View Post
    However the players there are tight and just the flops are hit or miss IMO.

  7. #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by gder03
    im guessing its about 1:20 to make a flush +/- 5. so knowing this, how will this info help you pf? the pot will never give you odds pf, so in my mind its useless info.
    To know how much value to give suitors. Its 118:1 according to that link.

  8. #8
    Check Raiser Aces-o-8s's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by gder03
    im guessing its about 1:20 to make a flush +/- 5. so knowing this, how will this info help you pf? the pot will never give you odds pf, so in my mind its useless info.
    Making a flush by the river with 2 suited in the pocket is 15:1 pre-flop and you're right few pre-flop pot give you those kind of pot odds. That's why implied odds are so important. In limit Hold'em implied odds are restricted to pre-determined bets with 4 bets per round allowed whereas in NL Hold'em, implied odds are determined by the size of your opps stack!
    While getting a flush with 2 suited in the pocket at pre-flop is 15:1, IF you flop 2 of the same suit for a fush draw, the odds go down to 1.9:1 for 2 draws (turn and river) or 4.1:1 for one draw (turn or river). Most flop pots would easily give these pot odds with only 3 players at minimal bets (big blind). It's when raises come into play that the draw vs pot odds start to suffer and why raising to discourage drawing is so important.
    So if the 3 players (including the 2 blinds) above came in at minimal investment, there would be 3 bets in the flop pot and if the SB bets the minimal amount, the BB now has 4:1 pot odds to call and if he calls the 3rd player now has 5:1 to call. BUT if the BB raised by one bet, the 3rd player would have pot odds of only 6:2 or 3:1 to call. On the turn the bets double as do the implied odds so a player on the draw can roughly calculate pot size by the number of players still in action and the number of bets they think they can extract if they hit their draw - and of course if it's good enough to win.
    In NL Hold'em, a pot size raise is automatically 2:1 for the next player to call but the implied odds are limited only by the size of the opps stack so depending on the hand, any NL player can argue a call based on implied odds if the opps has a big enough stack that he can get into the pot with an all-in bet! The trick is getting the opps to call the all-in and pay off the implied odds!
    The math isn't all that tuf but it can get confusing - lol

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