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Thread: Bet River?

  1. #1
    PokerForums God Marm's Avatar
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    Default Bet River?

    Very new to the table, Hadnt even completed a round yet, so no reads. I like my PF, Flop and Turn play, but what are you guys doing on the river??

    And for those that ask, the 2/4 LHE games on AP are hella softer than the 1/2 games. Those are rock gardens just trying to clear the bonus, the 2/4 has real players there, more dead money. (18% avg VPIP vs 35% avg VPIP)

    Stage #210873553: Holdem Normal $2/$4 - 2005-10-23 16:21:17 (ET)
    Table: JASMINE AVE (Real Money) Seat #7 is the dealer
    Seat 7 - MARM ($101.75 in chips)
    Seat 8 - JOKERFUN ($204.75 in chips)
    Seat 9 - GINGUSKHAN ($21.51 in chips)
    Seat 2 - UNCLECHUCK ($19 in chips)
    Seat 4 - JWBNUTS ($30 in chips)
    Seat 6 - INGRO ($75.25 in chips)
    JOKERFUN - Posts small blind $1
    GINGUSKHAN - Posts big blind $2
    *** POCKET CARDS ***
    Dealt to MARM [8d 8s]
    UNCLECHUCK - Folds
    JWBNUTS - Folds
    INGRO - Folds
    MARM - Raises $4 to $4
    JOKERFUN - Calls $3
    GINGUSKHAN - Calls $2
    *** FLOP *** [8h 10s Jd]
    JOKERFUN - Bets $2
    GINGUSKHAN - Folds
    MARM - Raises $4 to $4
    JOKERFUN - Raises $4 to $6
    MARM - Raises $4 to $8
    JOKERFUN - Calls $2
    *** TURN *** [8h 10s Jd] [6s]
    JOKERFUN - Checks
    MARM - Bets $4
    JOKERFUN - Calls $4
    *** RIVER *** [8h 10s Jd 6s] [Qs]
    JOKERFUN - Checks
    MARM - ??? Bets $4
    JOKERFUN - Raises $8 to $8
    MARM - Calls $4
    *** SHOW DOWN ***
    JOKERFUN - Shows [10d 9d] (Straight, eight to queen)
    MARM - Mucks
    JOKERFUN Collects $49.50 from main pot
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total Pot($52) | Rake ($2.50)
    Board [8h 10s Jd 6s Qs]
    Seat 2: UNCLECHUCK Folded on the POCKET CARDS
    Seat 4: JWBNUTS Folded on the POCKET CARDS
    Seat 6: INGRO Folded on the POCKET CARDS
    Seat 7: MARM (dealer) HI: [Mucked] [8d 8s]
    Seat 8: JOKERFUN (small blind) won Total ($49.50) HI$49.50) with Straight, eight to queen [10d 9d - B,B,B:10s,9P, 8h]
    Seat 9: GINGUSKHAN (big blind) Folded on the FLOP
    Last edited by Marm; 10-23-2005 at 12:35 PM.
    Marm is back, maybe. Been off for 3 years. Rusty as Hell.

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  2. #2
    Check Raiser Aces-o-8s's Avatar
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Marm
    Very new to the table, Hadnt even completed a round yet, so no reads. I like my PF, Flop and Turn play, but what are you guys doing on the river??
    ]
    With the Q making 4 to the str8 - I'm checking thru!

  3. #3
    Stu Ungar KINGJACK's Avatar
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    Default

    same here...

    But I would have been a lot more agressive on turn...

    If he already have it you stil have 10 outs!!

    KJ

  4. #4
    Stu Ungar KINGJACK's Avatar
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    Well... looked at the result and I realize it was limit...

    Good play on tunn I guess...

    Check the river would have been better

    KJ

  5. #5
    Check Raiser growlers's Avatar
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    Value bet the rver. I think he has J10. The fact that he bet into the preflop raiser with someone in between you tells me he has a made hand and not a draw. A draw would have checked called to keep BB in the hand - villian knows you will raise and the BB knows you will raise so they both know the BB will fold as BB doesn't want to get trapped in between you. Now if I had two pair I would have checkraised, but that is a different issue.

    Of made hands, JJ 1010 probably would reraise preflop and certainly would checkraise the turn, so those are out. I think he had two pair on the flop likely J10 and then decided you had a set and resolved to check/call down.

    The only hand you fear is maybe J9, some bad players would call in SB preflop with this and then cap flop figuring top pair and openender. But I think the chance of this is small so value bet and if you get raised so be it. Limit poker is all about aggression and value betting, I like how you played the rest of the hand.

    edit: I reread this and I'm not sure what you are in fear of? Why would you think he has a nine? AK is not a consideration, I'd be more worried if the river was a A in case he had QK. I don't see the q as really hurting you. Tell me if I'm missing something here

    edit2: are there idiots that would play QQ KK this way? Smooth call preflop, cap flop then maybe slowed down fearing AA or JJ? just another thought....I still say J10
    Last edited by growlers; 10-23-2005 at 06:58 PM.

  6. #6
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    Obviously a 9 is a worry, especially a hand like 98 (unlikely since you had 2 of the 8s) T9 or J9. The flush draw I wouldn't really consider, again unless he had something like or , actually those are real possibilities now that I think about it.

    Heh, I snooped and saw the results...but anyway it depends alot on what your read is on this player. I think betting the set for value on the river is the right play, sure there is a chance you are beat and were in this situation however, I would think you would win at least 2/3 with your opponent just calling your river bet.

    You being new to the table, I still think value betting the river is the best play, I would do it myself...but then again I am probably too predictable most of the time.

  7. #7
    Check Raiser growlers's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Phytopath
    Obviously a 9 is a worry, especially a hand like 98 (unlikely since you had 2 of the 8s) T9 or J9.
    I just find it strange to bet out with 98 and T9. Even bad players realize you want more people in the hand with an eight out draw and betting out practically assures the BB will fold. There is two ways to play this with three people in the pot - slow until you hit your draw or fast trying to bully everyone out, with outs if you get played back with. It seems like if he wanted to do it slow you check/call. If he is trying to bully everyone out most people would checkraise. It seems like you would bet out with a made hand that you didn't mind playing headsup and didn't want to get checked around giving a free card to someone with a straight draw. Two pair seems most likely to me, but J9 would somewhat fit this which is why I wrote a qualifier in my original post on this.

    I may be reading too much into this. I have a tendency to answer these posts assuming that the players are thinking careful players. I do this mostly because if you assume they are all idiots it is hard to analyze what is "correct" to do as you might as well just throw up your hands if you assume they are playing randomly. The guy already has shown that he is not that sophisticated because he cold called a single raise from the SB giving the BB 5:1 on his money and position on the SB. "Correct" play means you NEVER EVER do that. Hell the guy could have 89, 109 or QQ for that matter! But I still think value betting here is clearly "correct" in the long term.

  8. #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by growlers
    I just find it strange to bet out with 98 and T9. Even bad players realize you want more people in the hand with an eight out draw and betting out practically assures the BB will fold. There is two ways to play this with three people in the pot - slow until you hit your draw or fast trying to bully everyone out, with outs if you get played back with. It seems like if he wanted to do it slow you check/call. If he is trying to bully everyone out most people would checkraise. It seems like you would bet out with a made hand that you didn't mind playing headsup and didn't want to get checked around giving a free card to someone with a straight draw. Two pair seems most likely to me, but J9 would somewhat fit this which is why I wrote a qualifier in my original post on this.

    I may be reading too much into this. I have a tendency to answer these posts assuming that the players are thinking careful players. I do this mostly because if you assume they are all idiots it is hard to analyze what is "correct" to do as you might as well just throw up your hands if you assume they are playing randomly. The guy already has shown that he is not that sophisticated because he cold called a single raise from the SB giving the BB 5:1 on his money and position on the SB. "Correct" play means you NEVER EVER do that. Hell the guy could have 89, 109 or QQ for that matter! But I still think value betting here is clearly "correct" in the long term.
    Pre-flop I wouldn't ever play that hand in this situation, and I don't think that most good players would. He may have been putting Marm on a straight steal, who knows...a table as soft as Marm describes though, a decent player wouldn't really suspect that I suppose.

    I don't think his play on the flop is bad however, if the BB isn't gonna call his bet he most likely isn't going to call Marm's bet either...a check raise in this spot would definately get the BB out. He had a big chunk of the flop and was probably trying to push Marm out when he came back over the top, I really don't know.

    I do definately agree that the value bet on the river in a situation like this is the best play long run. 2 Pair, Top pair, most likely middle pairs and over-pairs will all pay you off nicely here.

  9. #9
    Check Raiser growlers's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Phytopath
    Pre-flop I wouldn't ever play that hand in this situation, and I don't think that most good players would. He may have been putting Marm on a straight steal, who knows...a table as soft as Marm describes though, a decent player wouldn't really suspect that I suppose.

    I don't think his play on the flop is bad however, if the BB isn't gonna call his bet he most likely isn't going to call Marm's bet either...a check raise in this spot would definately get the BB out. He had a big chunk of the flop and was probably trying to push Marm out when he came back over the top, I really don't know.

    I do definately agree that the value bet on the river in a situation like this is the best play long run. 2 Pair, Top pair, most likely middle pairs and over-pairs will all pay you off nicely here.
    Oh now I see what you meant, essentially that he caught some piece of the flop and that may or may not include a nine. I interpreted what you originally said as there was some PARTICULAR reason based on his betting that he has a nine.
    I agree this is an easy value bet and it's not even close.
    There is some chance that he has QQ and you are screwed on the river. But I still vote J10. What the hell did he have?
    Last edited by growlers; 10-24-2005 at 11:29 AM.

  10. #10
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    He had

    it's in white

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