I ran into an interesting situation the other day while playing .02/.04 limit Hold-em. I was dealt Ax spades in the Big Blind. 4 people limp in and I check. Flop came down and was (similar to) k-10-4 with one spade.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but the odds to draw to runner-runner flush is 19% or about 5:1. I did some quick math and determined that I had the odds to call a .02 bet on the flop, but wouldn't have the odds to call on the river if everybody checked on down the line (which was very common at this table, very loose passive). I decided to bet. If everybody called, that would put .20 in the pot and give me the odds if I hit the spade on the turn to call a .04 bet to see the river.
The Spade hit the turn, and again I bet out (trying to actively give me the odds to hit). Again, everybody called and I hit the nut flush on the river. Of course now I bet and everybody but the button folded. After it was done, he stated that he didn't figure me for the type to draw to a runner-runner flush (which is what he hit). I just told him I had the odds to draw.
Question: Did I really, or did I create the odds and is there a difference?
If somebody had raised either of my pre-river bets, I probably would have folded. I'm fairly sure that I was put on TPMK or two pair because I had been playing very TA. I'm fairly confident that people who folded were either drawing for an ace, straight or trips on something lower then the K.
I haven't done it since and I have no memory of being in a situation where my thoughts ran along those lines (creating odds to draw to a hand).
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Thread: Giving yourself odds
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08-10-2005 #1
Giving yourself odds
Last edited by Trons; 08-10-2005 at 11:41 AM.
Trons
Originally Posted by Jason75
JstTrons
Toyotatruck

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08-10-2005 #2
where on earth did you get 5:1? 9 of 47 remaining cards are the suit you need and you need two of them to come down. The odds of one coming on the turn is 9/47 and the odds of one coming on the river is 8/46 so your odds of hitting that runner runner is about 3% nowhere close to 20%
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08-10-2005 #3PokerForums God
- Join Date
- Sep 2004
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- 8,204
The odds of completing the flush are about 1:25.
Please don't ask yourself if you have odds to draw to a draw. That is losing play.
You had a runner runner straight and flush draw, so you have 3 aces that may win, about an out for the two backdoor draws, so you had about 3-5 outs depending on your opponents hands.
The pot is too small to be making these plays.
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08-10-2005 #4
This is check and fold situation. If you hit your ace you likely will not be good as weak players play Ax all the time NOT in the blind like you so danger of two pair (although AK likely would be raised preflop) or a better kicker. Hitting your X is surely no good on this board. So you need runner runner and you are leading into 4 people.
Now, IF the pot had been raised preflop and your x card allowed a runner runner straight possibility then I would check and calll a single flop bet to see what the turn brings. I think the math is about even for this - I hate to admit I never really added it up but it seems justified including the implied odds - but I routinely will check and call one bet on the flop in a multiway raised pot if I have both flush and straight runner runner draws as long as they are to what I think will be the winner.
But it has to be multiway and raised and sure I can get to the turn just calling one bet.
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08-10-2005 #5
I'm glad I posted this and I'm really glad I got extremely lucky. Not sure where I got the 5:1 on the runner-runner. I've had it stuck in my mind for sometime that it was 19% to hit RR flush and 16% to hit RR str8.
On a side note, I usually don't play Ax (where x is a crappy kicker). I was in the BB in this hand and therefore didn't have to pay to see the flop, but that's where I got in trouble (or lucky I guess).
Out of the $15 on PS (thanks again) I've built to a little over $25 by grinding out the .02/.04 tables. I am planning on moving up to .05/.10 when I hit $30 (with the intention of dropping back down if I drop to $25 again). I won't move up to the next level (which I believe is .25/.50) untill I hit $100 (again with the intention of dropping if I lose 10% of that). I know these aren't the best BR movements, however since I'm fully prepared to drop a level if needed, is this acceptable.Trons
Originally Posted by Jason75
JstTrons
Toyotatruck

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08-10-2005 #6Poker Hustler
- Join Date
- Aug 2005
- Posts
- 1,161
There is nothing wrong with playing AX suited in limit games, they can lead to some huge payoffs. Depending on position I'll call two bets or make it two bets to go with these hands.
However, you have to realize that it's either hit it or dump it. Hitting the A on the flop however, you really need to be careful as you will most often be out kicked. If you hit 4 to the flush, you'll almost always have the pot odds to call to the river.
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08-10-2005 #7
Ax suited is a playable hand in low limit multiway pots holdem, but only for flush potential or maybe if you hit trips on the flop. I am pretty wary of even two pair with it as it is hard to play aggressive if others show interest.
Originally Posted by Trons
I would have called a raise with it in the big blind without regret, but it is like a pair of 22, you have to hit the flop in a limit game with it or get rid of it.
Ax unsuited I avoid like the plague. I never play any kicker 8 and below unsuited in full table limit unless I raise on the button to steal the blinds or it's in the big blind.
edit: Sorry phytopath, typing while you posted.
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08-10-2005 #8
Please no more 2's.....I am all typed out on that topic
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08-10-2005 #9
yeah, I did have a sense of deju vu as I was typing that....
Originally Posted by Antneye
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08-10-2005 #10
The reason I have dumped Ax from my starting hands is because at the limit I'm playing, everybody plays anything and almost everybody shows an interest in the pot until the river. Unless you're sitting on something very close to the nuts, you could be beat and you won't know till showdown.
Originally Posted by growlers
I've been playing really tight, maybe too tight. Because of this I have have a decent WR of about 10BB/100 (that's since I've been tracking which is been the last 4 sessions, that's not including the 3 sessions before that where I won $8 of the $10 I've added to my BR.) I spend most of my time folding and if the table doesn't have a huge turn over I start doing a little bluffing after about an hour and half. Usually once I notice that I'm getting respect for my hands.
I've also been kicking around the idea of 2 tableing and seeing how I can do at that...may try that this evening.Trons
Originally Posted by Jason75
JstTrons
Toyotatruck

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