Welcome to PokerForums.org

If this is your first visit, be sure to check out the FAQ by clicking the link above. You may have to register before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.

Results 1 to 4 of 4
  1. #1
    Private
    Join Date
    Dec 2011
    Posts
    2
    PFO Points
    2

    Default Noob question about hand selection and information criteria in poker.

    Hey Guys,

    I was wondering what your thoughts are on which hands you should be winning with. I've been playing and studying poker more rigorously for about 4 months now and I find that I make most of my money with sets and flushes. All of the big hands I win are mainly sets and flushes (very few with straights). Its mostly because I play cash games and am fairly tight aggressive. I play fairly mathematically and seldom play hands with negative EV, like say 9-10 unsuited w/ 5 players. Is it bad to not be winning that much with straights?

    Intuitively, you should win the most amount of chips/hand in order of magnitude of rarity.
    For example, you should win the fewest number of chips/hand with a pair. Slightly more with two pairs and (obviously) the most money per hand with a royal flush. However, is there a discrepancy between the gap between trips and a flush?

    That is, theoretically, your winnings per hand with straights should be in between trips and a flush, but it doesn't seem to be because you are less likely just based on conventional poker theory to play cards that result in a straight?

    In college, I learned about the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) which basically penalizes statistical models for excess terms even if accuracy is improved. Does anyone know of a similar term in poker/information theory/probability theory which basically penalizes the hands you should play because you have a lack of information?

    For example, you are on a straight draw: is there a model which would say don't play hands that are likely straight because there is a higher degree of variance in what the cards will be dealt and the bets that will be made at the table? However, if you are holding a trips or a flush, you arguably know "more" about whether or not you will win a hand because it is much easier to judge what your opponents could have or are likely to bet. Basically, with trips on the flop, you arguably have more information up front and you should be able to quantify that somehow (despite the probability of a flush draw).

    Sorry for going on a bit of tangent but the idea came out of reading an article on information theory and the St. Petersburg Paradox. Any thoughts, additional literature or guidance is appreciated

    Have a good weekend guys,

    -Larry G.

  2. #2
    George
    Guest

    Default

    You say that you win the most with sets or flushes, but it's all in perspective. Those are better hands than most so you'll win more. You probably win the most by betting and having everyone fold. For your style, i'd recommend Small Ball strategy from Daniel Negraneu. It will help put everything in perspective.

  3. #3
    Banned
    Join Date
    Dec 2011
    Posts
    14
    PFO Points
    15

    Default

    Try to get a lot of strategies and lessons about this in a lot of good resources here and in other sites. For sure you would be able to learn more about playing poker and all the questions you have in mind. Thanks for this one!
    _________________________
    Virgin Casino
    Last edited by djohouston; February 9th, 2012 at 07:23 PM.

  4. #4
    Private
    Join Date
    Apr 2012
    Posts
    23
    PFO Points
    23

    Default

    books realy help for theories and also to get a better picture of how the game works

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •