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  1. #1
    Fish
    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Posts
    49

    Default Setting up for a bad beat?

    This is a NL ring game with friends. Blinds are $.25/.50. It is 5-handed. I have about 40 bucks. The person in question in the hand has about 80 and is in SB. He is known to limp/flat call a wide range of hands and is loose and aggressive postflop. Folds to me, in middle position with:



    I raise to $2. The person to the left flat calls. The person in question calls from the SB. BB calls. Pot is $8.

    Flop comes:



    Checks to me. I bet $3. Folds to SB who raises to $6. I call. Pot is $20.

    Turn:



    SB bets $7. I call. Pot is $34.

    River:



    SB bets $7. I call. Pot is $48.

    Suggestions on how I played this hand would be appreciated.

  2. #2
    Fish Food
    Join Date
    Jun 2005
    Posts
    2

    Default

    I'd say you played this hand fairly loose. If he is known to play a wide variety of hands, you should have taken into consideration that he might have a 4. I would have laid it down to his re-raise on the flop.

  3. #3
    Fish
    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Posts
    49

    Default

    His flop raise doesn't mean shit. And he min raised it. So I had very good drawing odds. Why am I scared by a possible one card open-ended straight draw? I disagree compeletely with a fold there.

  4. #4
    Fish Food
    Join Date
    Jun 2005
    Posts
    2

    Default

    Alright man, just giving my opinion. I guess me and you have different playing styles. I play a tight game. I just don't see how making a call on that flop would be profitable most of the time.

  5. #5
    Fish
    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Posts
    49

    Default

    3/20 = 15% win rate or higher to show profit. Don't mean to be a dick. I just think a flop call there is standard and indisputable.

  6. #6
    PokerForums God Marm's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2004
    Location
    Cleveland
    Posts
    9,757

    Default

    If you think hes bluffing, then you played it ok, you can't release this hand after the turn....
    Marm is back, maybe. Been off for 3 years. Rusty as Hell.

    Luck is a Residue of Design.

  7. #7
    Fish
    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Posts
    49

    Default

    When I start calling down, the pots $20. So, my odds once I call down are 14/48 = 29%. So would most LAG's would bluff more than 29% of the time? That seems high; that means that the person bluffs at least one in three times in this spot. How many times when he is not bluffing should I expect to have the better hand?

  8. #8
    Fish Food cursesalive's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2005
    Location
    Maryland
    Posts
    2

    Default

    did you win the hand or not?

  9. #9
    Fish
    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Posts
    49

    Default

    The person had A9s. I lose.

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