MP is normall LLH Cally wally Who's doing what here? Do we check? Do we value bet, and if so... how much???


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) converter

saw flop|saw showdown

BB ($6.30)
UTG ($5.95)
MP ($9.70)
Hero ($23.10)
Button ($15.50)
SB ($13.05)

Preflop: Hero is CO with , .
1 fold, MP calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.5, 2 folds, BB calls $0.40, MP calls $0.40.

Flop: ($1.55) , , (3 players)
BB checks, MP checks, Hero bets $1.25, BB folds, MP calls $1.25.

Turn: ($4.05) (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $3, MP calls $3.

River: ($10.05) (2 players)
MP checks, Hero ???.

Even though I know the image of this player, I think you should bet here. Why would someone with only $5 left in a $10 pot check this river if he had a 7 or a flush? I'd bet him all-in.
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Vapir Air One

Yea bet his last $5, unless he is the player that would fold that but raise if you made it like $2...

But what does he have?? SHouldn't we look at this from a Bayes/EV point of view?

Check.

What could he have that you can beat?
AJ
KJ
QJ
JT
TT

What could he have that beats you?
AsQs
AsTs
As9s
As8s
Any form of A7
As6s
As5s
As3s
As2s
KsQs
KsTs
JJ
77
44
99

I'll rule out AJ, as people are more likely to raise the flop with TPTK than with a flush draw, second pair in the hole, or a set. Clearly, this is a check. and is more player dependent than anything. Betting less than $5 is pretty retarded because you're not folding to a raise because you inflated the pot with whatever you bet, not to mention that you just bet $3 on the turn. You'd need to win this hand more than 25% of the time when you consider the possibility of a set on the flop or on the turn with the money that you might've put in with the worst hand. I'd've played this similarly and checked on the river.

I smell 4's full, in all honesty, maybe a flush. I definitely think you're beat in this spot.