Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, 1$ BB (9 handed) converter

saw flop|saw showdown

Button ($95.9)
SB ($392.77)
BB ($104.75)
UTG ($90.85)
UTG+1 ($94.5)
MP1 ($178.39)
MP2 ($87.2)
Hero ($344.6)
CO ($99.5)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with , . SB posts a blind of $0.5.
UTG calls $1, UTG+1 calls $1, MP1 calls $1, 1 fold, Hero raises to $8, 4 folds, UTG calls $7, UTG+1 folds, MP1 folds.

Flop: ($19.50) , , (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $14, UTG calls $14.

Turn: ($47.50) (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks.

River: ($47.50) (2 players)
UTG bets $20, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $67.50

no reads. he has a set yes?

I see what you're saying, but the small bet is very fishy. He wants to get called here. Odds say to call, but your read says to fold getting 2:1. Go with the read. I like it, but I might call depending on the player and the table atmosphere.

JK's two Aces that include the eliminates a lot of possibilities for AQ or a busted flush. This could be Queens. It could be Jacks. I couldn't say that this is a great laydown because a lot people would play Tens or AK the way you played your Aces here. Of course a lot of people could play Jacks this way as well, so if he has Queens, this is a good bet to induce a call from a moron that would play Jacks this way.

Q: Did you consider betting $14 again on the turn and checking the river? I don't think you have to be afraid of a flush or straight draw here.

Originally Posted by goose58

Why would a set check the turn on this draw heavy board? I'm putting opponent on a queen and calling. If he has the sr8 or set it doesnt matter because he played the hand horrible.

you ok?

Originally Posted by goose58

If he has the sr8 or set it doesnt matter because he played the hand horrible.

How do you know that he's played it horribly, Goose? You haven't even ATTEMPTED to put Villian on a hand!

Your recent posts really suck. You make statements without reasoning to validate those statements. Give us some reasoning in the form of if/then's and such.

I'd fold - his stack is only a bit below buy in... looks tight honest to me

BUT... one thing for sure- he knows you've got at least AA.

I'm doing work on knocking AA down - There's a fair bit of money in this. PPL are paranoid about cracked aces.
Call check - and well pitched bet on the river really unnerve a tight aggressive. (I know!!!).. Particulary if you've been folding for couple of rounds... On a non-threatening flop I reckon 70% put down - if it gets threatening a tad higher..

Under these circumstances I'd be tempted to toss a coin.. I reckon you got to call 50% of these at this level. You won't ever have enough of a read I reckon to know if its a play .But obviously you can't put down every time this happens.

What I am doing now is if the AA are the same colour I call - If they are different I fold.