I'm sorry man but you're very mistaken about tournament theory. There are even situations that arise where folding AA preflop is fine in tournament play. These are not common, but it can happen.
Say average stack size is 8k. Blinds are 100/200 and you're on the bubble. Two players before you with about 2000 chips each get it all in preflop. You have like 1400 chips on the button. Folding here is the right play.
You're overall real dollar equity in the tournament is going to be higher here by folding any practically guaranteeing yourself making the money, compared to your increase in real dollar equity by having more chips after making the money.
I feel like I explained what I'm trying to say really bad, and this thread is totally derailed now, but hopefully someone gets it .
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Thread: folding KKs pre-flop
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02-18-2009 #41
“There's no sense in being precise when you don't even know what you're talking about.” - John von Neumann
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02-18-2009 #42
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02-18-2009 #43
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02-18-2009 #44
You're shitting me.
In an MTT no one cares about making the money. If they do then they're a bad player or probably underrolled for the tourney.
In a STT I could vaguely maybe see a justification for folding AA on the bubble if you're a massive nit because making the money there is WAY more important than in an MTT.
Ever hear of "play to win?" You can't really pass up the chance to decimate two stacks and triple up with AA in an MTT. If you wanna make that $5 profit on your $11 buy-in that badly then go ahead and fold but personally I'd rather accumulate a stack to make the final table with.
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02-18-2009 #45
There are points in certain tournaments where you are no longer effectively playing to win. If you have a 3x BB stack on the bubble, folding and practically being guaranteed to make the money is the most effective way to increase net profits. Trippling up to a whopping 10x BB stack doesn't put you in any substantial position to play. You're still waiting for a hand, to try to double up with again, and still run the risk of being blinded out soon.
If I can get all my money in with 20xbb in this situation, I do call. in this case, if I win this hand I can start really playing to accumulate a large stack and put my self in a position to win.“There's no sense in being precise when you don't even know what you're talking about.” - John von Neumann
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02-20-2009 #46
lol @ folding KK on the bubble in an MTT.
lol @ folding KK ever in an MTT.
i mean, if its a spot where its like a satelite or qualifyer where all the prizes paid the same thing, then I could understand the fold seeing as how making it first and just in the money would give u the same prize.
but in a standard MTT?? not something I would ever do.
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02-20-2009 #47Chaser
- Join Date
- Jun 2007
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- Iowa
- Posts
- 153
I was sort of playing a free roll one time (was playing another video game that took up more of my time, every few min I'd check in to see if I had a hand worth playing) and was down to around 5 before the button. I clicked back to my screen to see KK as UTG+1 and very quickly hit the I'm Back button. I was probably 80+ BBs deep back at the time, no danger of busting out or anything, when UTG open shoves and has me covered just barely. I think, sweet double up late and on the bubble and I don't even have to pay attention to make the final table. Turns out he had AA. >_>
At least it was a free roll and I hadn't really been playing it anyway.
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02-20-2009 #48Check Raiser
- Join Date
- Jan 2009
- Posts
- 524
FWIW, yes, I can understand folding KK or even AA in the very specific situation where:
Only one more person needs to bust out for everyone to make the money.
Three people are all-in, and you have a hunch the shortest stack of the three has the weakest hand.
You're so short that even quadrupling up leaves you in the red zone.
The first 20, or 30, or 50 paid spots all pay the same thing, and the next couple dozen don't pay much better - this is often the case in big MTTs.
Even then, I'm not sure I would do it if I had at least 3xBB in my stack... amazing comebacks are possible, and I'd really like to cash big in a huge MTT... but let's look at the extreme case, as proof of the concept. Say on the previous hand, my donkish opponent had made the standard donk joke of betting 1 chip less than my stack on the river. I felt I had to call, but since we were so close to the bubble, I didn't push my last chip in. Now I have 1 chip. Obviously, now, I stay out of the hand and hope that one of the two bigger stacks wins the all-in and the shorty busts out (or the shorty wins, but the deepest beats the 2nd)... quadrupling up to 4 chips isn't going to help my chances any, obviously - I'm already dead in the water, and I'm just hoping enough people go out before the blinds get to me that I'll make the money.
Okay, so that's a ridiculously contrived scenario, and most of us would get our chips in if we had, say, 10xBB, since quadrupling up to 40xBB makes us a serious contender. But the fact that it's a no-brainer to fold AA when you have one chip in that situation proves the point that somewhere in between those two cases, there's a transition point, below which folding any hand becomes correct.
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02-20-2009 #49Chaser
- Join Date
- Jun 2007
- Location
- Iowa
- Posts
- 153
^Semi-unrelated but that reminds me I was playing at a live tournament one time. We were already at the final table and the tourney paid the top 10, so we were already in the money. This guy got raised to all but his last 1000 chips (blinds were 1000/2000 at the time) preflop and he just called then folded the flop. I asked him why he would do that and he said just wait and see. Instead of getting paid $60 for 10th place, 6 people busted out that orbit and he got 4th for a few hundred bucks.
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02-20-2009 #50
I'd really like TA to reply with why folding KK PF in a standard MTT is 99.9999% of the time retarded.
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