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01-02-2005, 11:51 AM
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change my title babo
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 6,758
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Well, actually its if you will get 3 callers then you raise for value, but beavis is correct.
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“There's no sense in being precise when you don't even know what you're talking about.” - John von Neumann
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01-02-2005, 11:59 AM
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PokerForums God
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 8,172
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by bonchkid
Well, actually its if you will get 3 callers then you raise for value, but beavis is correct.
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True, I meant to put that in there you have to figure that they will call (at least two). Of course, if they all fold, that would fine 
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01-02-2005, 12:08 PM
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Banned
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 670
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I don't see a good player raising on the river there w/o a boat or better. It's been check called by that many openents and then one leads out on the river when the 3rd club hit, i wouldn't expect a strong player to raise with just a jack.
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01-02-2005, 12:09 PM
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change my title babo
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 6,758
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Weak players will raise with a lower flush.
__________________
“There's no sense in being precise when you don't even know what you're talking about.” - John von Neumann
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01-02-2005, 12:10 PM
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change my title babo
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 6,758
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What's he raising here? J8? JJ? 66? Maybe he got lucky and hit his 88 but I dont think so.
__________________
“There's no sense in being precise when you don't even know what you're talking about.” - John von Neumann
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01-02-2005, 12:10 PM
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Banned
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 670
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Good point I wasn't thinking about a lower flush.
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01-02-2005, 02:13 PM
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Poker Hustler
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Medford, MA... Covesville, VA in the summers
Posts: 824
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Bonch, you know better than to call a flush "the nuts" with the board paired. 
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01-02-2005, 02:17 PM
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change my title babo
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 6,758
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Suck my best possible hand.
__________________
“There's no sense in being precise when you don't even know what you're talking about.” - John von Neumann
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01-02-2005, 02:35 PM
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River Rat
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 484
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Beavis68
When you have 3 or more opponents you can raise for value on the flop. Here, you probably only have 8 outs, but that is still about 33% pot equity, so you can profitable raise 3 or more opponents if you think they will call.
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Your pot equity is less when somebody has a full house redraw, meaning you need more opponents to raise a flush draw for value when someone has trips, even though technically you still have 8 outs.
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=690116
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01-02-2005, 03:28 PM
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PokerForums God
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 8,172
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With 8 outs, you have about a 31.5% chance of hitting your hand. Nine outs is ~35%, you can't do the pot equity calc on all the what if's, just in how many outs you have to make your hand.
If you don't agree with me, take it up with Ed Miller and David Sklansky because that is where I learned it and their method is good enough for me 
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