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Go Back PokerForums.org > Strategy Discussion > General Poker Strategy > Any consensus?

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  #11 (permalink)  
Old 12-29-2004, 06:02 PM
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Yes, Thats QQ vs the range of what I thought may be playable.
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  #12 (permalink)  
Old 12-30-2004, 06:02 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Marm
OK. I just found this nifty piece of software called pokerstove (www.pokerstove.com). It 's what we've been looking for in hand evaluators. It evaluates a hand vs specific hands, or random or a specific range of hands.
Hey guys....LOOK. Marm's got a new toy!
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Old 12-30-2004, 09:08 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mxp2004
Thanks for the thoughts. Sounds like there is no real sentiment for folding here. In his book on tournament poker, Sklansky suggests that there may be some situations when you are on the bubble where it makes sense to fold even strong hands, but it sounds like no one feels that this was one of those situations.
I don't think you can treat it as one of "those situations" for a couple of reasons.

1. Your stack isn't much healthier than the short stack at the table, so you can't put yourself in a wait-and-see mindset. You might be able to slide in to the money here, but I think you have to approach it with the mentality that you're going to have to play your way in there. This hand looks to be a good chance to do just that, and

2. There's no guarantee the short stack is headed all-in here, so this isn't a situation where you toss a good hand because someone else already has their neck on the chopping block and you stand to move up into the money. You need chips, there's 600 of them out there already plus the blinds -- that's a pretty good reason to go forward here.
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Old 12-30-2004, 09:55 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mxp2004
Thanks for the thoughts. Sounds like there is no real sentiment for folding here. In his book on tournament poker, Sklansky suggests that there may be some situations when you are on the bubble where it makes sense to fold even strong hands, but it sounds like no one feels that this was one of those situations.


Or stated differently, if you have QQ and you put your opponent on one of those three hand categories, then you should expect to win more than half the time?
First, Sklansky was talking about MTTs, not sit-n-gos. In most MTTs, you will be at a full table or nearly full at bubble time. Also, you should have a playable stack as SHADE pointed out.

Reallly man, you shouldn't have even posted this as a question. This is closer to a bad (luck) beat in my book.
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Old 12-30-2004, 10:37 AM
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Here's how I play this in tournaments, I'm not saying it's right but its how I do it with a measure of success,

With an allin the most likely result is to pick up the pot preflop.

If the allin is called it either means you are beat AA KK or a slight favourite to AK or at best an underpair JJ 1010. There are two others in the pot so two possible callers making it twice(ish) as likely that someone has AA KK or AK.

I think an allin limits your likely outcomes to either taking the pot as it stands, being called with AA or KK, or facing coinflip with AK. A call from JJ 1010 or even AQ would be nice but unlikely.

For these reasons I call in this situation with QQ.

Then go allin if there are no overcards as AK should now fold and if he calls I'm favourite.

AA and KK have me beat, but if they bet first post flop it might give a clue.

If there's an A on the flop then I'll fold to a bet, or raise a bit if it's checked to me, if it's a K I'd think harder about my options.

The situation in the tournament isn't dire enough to rule out a post-flop fold so I may as well see the cards.

Of course none of that would have saved you here

Rex
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Old 12-30-2004, 11:48 AM
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This is down four handed in a SnG, not a full ring. Your assumptions on what will call you are completely flawed. Plus, there is nothing wrong with picking up the pot.
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Old 12-30-2004, 12:03 PM
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i think i would play this hand in this situation in the same way as Irexes,

normally i would push, and i agree that there is nothing wrong with picking up the pot. however in this case mxp states that both opponents are playing very tight and does not put them on a wide range of possible holdings.

usually i would push, in this case i would call and then weigh up my options on the flop.
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Old 12-30-2004, 01:15 PM
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The fact that it's on the bubble in a SnG is one of the reasons I think the likely calls for an allin are limited.

But as I said that's the way I do it, not what I'm suggesting is right for everyone
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Old 12-30-2004, 05:46 PM
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easy push no need for all of this lol
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  #20 (permalink)  
Old 12-30-2004, 06:16 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jack King off
easy push no need for all of this lol

You and I agree too much, we probably shouldn't ever play together.
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