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Originally Posted by Aces-o-8s
Turn - SB CHECKED!! No need to screw around, he's indicated weakness and the MPs just called along on 3rd street - she has to try to win the pot right away. Bet the pot or at least 2/3. Certainly MP1 or MP2 are on a draw probably club flush, overcards and/or pocket pair less than 8. If she gets raised, she's likely behind and should muck out and kick herself for calling in the first place. No way she wants this to go to the river.
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Ahhh haa; so it did go to the river and there's the raise in the form of a $2 leadout bet! I'd say she behind but she's getting 5.64 - 2 pot odds to call (7.64 - 2 if MP2 also calls) with 2 pair including top pair. She has a chance against a bluff and 2nd & 3rd pairs. She's beat by trip 3s and a possible str8 (A-5 or 5-6) and there are the less likely but still possible slowplays like trip 8s or 4s (or quad 3s). Looks like SB is on a bluff doesn't it but a flop bet to an OESD with 5-6 makeds good sense too doesn't it? I'll go for the 6 hi str8.
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