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05-12-2006, 09:19 AM
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Poker Professional
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: FL
Posts: 1,764
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Push from the BB
15 left in a Party $6 50 man SNG. I'm on of the top stacks at the table and the tournament. Short-stack is on the SB and limps. I push??
Converter doesn't seem to be working...so I'm going to try and do this by hand.
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t600 (7 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: Other UBB Forum)
MP1 (t5024)
MP2 (t9765)
CO (t13882)
Button (t5722)
SB (t2199)
AT (t9669)
UTG (t1049)
AT has  on BB
5 folds, SB completes, AT pushes...
Last edited by Announced Tilt; 05-12-2006 at 09:29 AM.
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05-12-2006, 10:29 AM
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Check Raiser
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Boston
Posts: 595
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Since it's just the two of you, I personally would have raised to 2199. That would be more intimidating than simply pushing, because it sends the message that I am well aware of precisely what I am asking of you.
"Do you feel lucky, punk?" 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KRE8R
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05-12-2006, 11:22 AM
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Banned
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Essex, UK
Posts: 2,389
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Three outcomes to the push
a) he folds
b) he calls you win
c) he calls you lose
a) gives you 1200 chips extra
b) gives you 2799 extra
c) loses you 2199
a) is the most likely
I'd say c) is more likely than b) as even V any 2 cards you are not a huge favourite but you could easily be way behind or dominated.
a) and b) aren't going to radically improve your chance of cashing well, while b) is going to really hurt you.
I'd check and see a flop and go from there.
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05-12-2006, 11:39 AM
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River Rat
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Fhloston Paradise
Posts: 457
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You can probably safely assume that he has something suited or middle connectors. At least that is what I would assume. I'd check to see the flop and if it doesn't look like he hit based on my assumption then I'd push.
I think since he's the short stack if he had anything of strength he'd push preflop.
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05-12-2006, 11:47 AM
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PokerForums God
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 8,172
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looks pretty standard to me.
I would bet if you posted this in the SNG forum on 2+2 people would say to push regardless of your hand unless the player was tight and wouldn't complete with out some kind of hand.
If he is a typical weak limper you probably pick up the pot 3 or 4 times for every time you get called.
and when you do get called you still have a 40% or more chance to bust him.
if he completes with any two card, and only play any broadway, any ace, any pair you pick up the pot 3 out of 4 times uncontested, and bust him 40% of that time when he does call.
.75*(1200)+.25(.4*(2800)-.6(1600))
=900+.25(1120-960) =900 + 40=940
Looks like a great play to me.
since this guy is short, these numbers may be off - it is player depenendant, but unless he is tight with completion (highly likely to trap), I think this is a good move.
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05-12-2006, 11:52 AM
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Chaser
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 181
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Its a decent push
But you dont want to see a flop with that hand.
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"In the beginning... everthing was even money" Mike Caro
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05-12-2006, 11:53 AM
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PokerForums God
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Join Date: Sep 2004
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Irexes
c) loses you 2199
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Actually, this is not really correct, you already have 600 in the pot.
it only costs you 1600.
You are getting really good value for an all in here even if you are sure he would call. your all in value is 2800:1600 or 1.75:1
That is more than enough vs any range of hands you can put him on.
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05-12-2006, 11:59 AM
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Banned
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Join Date: Nov 2004
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Yup on the cost of the call, but I wouldn't necessarily apply the pot odds to this call.
Rather I think about the implied odds of cashing based on each outcome. If it was a straight value proposition then it may well be a call, but in the context of a tourney I hate this kind of situation with A rag.
And I think there's a lot more people calling with strength here than is being given credit.
You're cruising along in good shape, why risk a big chunk of stack in a situation not of your choosing?
Of course I'm a passive-aggressive tourney player so I'm not criticising the push, just not for me (unless I've a very good read on the other guy).
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05-12-2006, 12:18 PM
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Mike McDermott
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Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Michigan
Posts: 3,258
Limits Played: Play Money
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with his stack size i dont like the push. however if he has say 4000, its a great play. this play is also very read depending. how has the limping sb reacted to a raise before? has he called? raised? has he tried to trap you before?
pushing preflop like this is all about knowing the size of your stack, size of your opponents stack, the blinds, and the likleyness he will call (his "call range")
in this spot, stack is 9000 and bb is 600. pot isnt worth it to risk this play here. however, i wouldnt mind a raise, because you have an ace (the limping small blind represents much less than an ace) and you have position after the flop.
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05-12-2006, 12:26 PM
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Chaser
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 181
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With UTG with less than 2 BB left maybe SB dont want to risk to finish before him.
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