Cake Poker
Home
News
Articles
Site Reviews
Book Reviews
Interviews
Chat
Tournaments
60% Rakeback
50% RakebackNew!
125% Rakeback
Probabilities
Glossary
Poker Gear
Links
Advertise
User Name  
 
Password
Cookie?  
 
 
Poker Players on Launchpoker.com
LaunchPoker.com provides you with all the information you need about this year's WSOP event, from the 2008 WSOP schedule to the latest 2008 WSOP updates.
Online poker reviews of rooms such as Full Tilt Poker, Poker Stars and Titan Poker.
Extras

RakeBack
PokerListings

Go Back PokerForums.org > Strategy Discussion > General Poker Strategy > Follow Up: Folding the nuts.

Notices

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1 (permalink)  
Old 12-17-2004, 09:20 PM
bonchkid's Avatar
change my title babo
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 6,758
Trade Rating: (0)
Default Follow Up: Folding the nuts.

Ok, so obviously there are many times when its proper to fold the current nuts in PLOmaha and often PLO8.
How about Hold-Em? I can only think of one:
3 people left in a large tourney
Blinds 200/400
A 15k
B 12k
C 100(after posting)
If A pushes and B calls, its correct for C to fold AA here.
There are a few variations of AA before the flop.
__________________
“There's no sense in being precise when you don't even know what you're talking about.” - John von Neumann
Reply With Quote
Sponsored Links
Personal Poker Pal
  #2 (permalink)  
Old 12-18-2004, 09:01 AM
PokerForums God
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 8,170
Trade Rating: (0)
Default

Why is it correct for C to fold? No gaurantee that B will get knocked out, and if B wins, A will still have a decent stack. If A and B had identical stacks, and there was a large difference is prize money from 2nd to 3rd, I can see it, but I don't get it here. Whether you fold or call you are still gambling.

Besides if this is correct, it is correct because of tournament structure, not hand odds, so it is not really the same thing.
Reply With Quote
  #3 (permalink)  
Old 12-18-2004, 09:09 AM
bonchkid's Avatar
change my title babo
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 6,758
Trade Rating: (0)
Default

It's absoultely correct for C to fold here. Think about it. I realize what you are saying about hand odds and I agree. This one is sorta cheesey.
__________________
“There's no sense in being precise when you don't even know what you're talking about.” - John von Neumann
Reply With Quote
  #4 (permalink)  
Old 12-18-2004, 09:13 AM
PokerForums God
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 8,170
Trade Rating: (0)
Default

I have thought about it, please share your wisdom with me.
Reply With Quote
  #5 (permalink)  
Old 12-18-2004, 01:26 PM
the alex's Avatar
PokerForums God
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Nort Side o' Shi-kawgo
Posts: 7,961
Trade Rating: (0)
Send a message via AIM to the alex Send a message via MSN to the alex Send a message via Yahoo to the alex
Default

I see what you're saying, Bonch, but this is an extreme situation, where I say that C calls.

Against two people, player C is about a coin flip to win half if he has no lo draw. In the worst case scenario, A scoops, and the whole side pot is won by B. The chip stacks at the end of the hand are:

A: 18K
B: 36K
C: 85K

Or B scoops and you're heads up:

A: 45K
C: 85K

Not so bad in either case considering that half of the time you'll scoop if there's no lo or win 1/2 the pot with the hi.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by FaDi View Post
GodFadiR (12:32:45 AM): but lets be honest
GodFadiR (12:32:48 AM): who doesnt wanna fuck me
WotaWotaWota (12:33:22 AM): I do
WotaWotaWota (12:33:27 AM): in tehanus
Reply With Quote
  #6 (permalink)  
Old 12-18-2004, 03:13 PM
Check Raiser
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 615
Trade Rating: (0)
Send a message via AIM to Shade
Default

I've gotta agree with beav -- why is it "absolutely correct" for C to fold here? I'd be inclined to say fold if the problem were the other way around with the 12K stack going all-in and then being called by the 15K stack. As written, however, player A could be on anything from a flat out "I'm bored so lets grab some blinds" steal attempt to a low/mid pair or AK. What you DO know though, is that player B's hand is likely better than A's. Why do I say this? Because B just voluntarily stuck his tournament life on the line while you're scraping felt -- why would B do that UNLESS they've got a premium hand and they feel that THIS is the chance to get a commanding advantage for the tournament?

So now the question becomes does the chance of moving up in prize money from B getting knocked off compensate for folding in a situation where you are almost assuredly dominating both players collectively? If you fold here, you're running up a white flag...either B loses or you HAVE to win your next hand with random cards to stay alive. Even if you clear that hurdle, you'll have to do the exact same thing two hands later with another randomly dealt hand or you'll be blinded out again.

On the flipside, you can emerge from this with 1,500 in chips by flipping in your last black chip. If you win, you've just bought yourself about six hands of discretion and a new life while watching either B get knocked out or A get crippled down to just double your stack size.

Fight on your feet or die like a dog -- your odds of winning against both players with AA is equal to or better than the odds of A knocking off B based on the betting, so push and pray.
__________________
:cool:

To be successful in business, surround yourself with professionals. To be successful in poker, surround yourself with idiots.

Last edited by Shade; 12-18-2004 at 03:18 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #7 (permalink)  
Old 12-18-2004, 03:24 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 47
Trade Rating: (0)
Default

well i think the only way that someones gonna move it in and get called is if either they have a pcoket pair, which you have dominated, or a k, which you also have domiated. you're up against two players but you're still a HUGE favorite to win the pot so folding here is somewhat to very retarted. in fact you're still a 70 percent favorite to win teh pot

Last edited by negranu333; 12-18-2004 at 03:31 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #8 (permalink)  
Old 12-18-2004, 03:52 PM
Announced Tilt's Avatar
Poker Professional
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: FL
Posts: 1,764
Trade Rating: (0)
Default

Let's try these hands:

Holdem Hi: 1370754 enumerated boards
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ad Kh 75421 5.50 1279357 93.33 15976 1.17 0.060
Qs Qc 248836 18.15 1116752 81.47 5166 0.38 0.183
As Ac 1030521 75.18 324257 23.66 15976 1.17 0.757

A pushes with AK. Player B must have a good hand in order to call. Pretty much any good hand he has, you have dominated.

I think that if B doubles up, A still has a greater chip size than you. I think that a call here is in order. Chances are you will come in third anyway if you fold, so why not try and triple up. You are going to get blinded away within the next two hands. Tripling up gives you a better chance to survive the blinds, because if you double up twice in a row, you will have a chance to avoid being all-in with the blinds.
Reply With Quote
  #9 (permalink)  
Old 12-18-2004, 04:31 PM
Mrwaffles's Avatar
Fish
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Huntersville (By charlotte) NC
Posts: 59
Trade Rating: (0)
Send a message via AIM to Mrwaffles
Default

i think you kind have to call. You definatly have the best hand, at least pre flop and if you fold you wont even have the small blind left. best scenario is for you to win the side pot, tripling up, and for A to knock B out. you never know what will happen after that, you could end up winning. Theres no chance to win if you fold
Reply With Quote
  #10 (permalink)  
Old 12-18-2004, 04:49 PM
PokerForums God
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 8,170
Trade Rating: (0)
Default

Ok, I guess the only way you could maybe justify a fold is if you think player B would only call with AA, since C is so close to busting out.

Still, not sure the math justifies it, because player A will have you way out chipped, you gain nothing by folding.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -8. The time now is 04:44 AM.

   Designed by
      
No Deposit Bonus
Poker Strategy
Poker Rooms
PartyPoker Bonus Codes
Online Poker Strategy
Online Casino Bonuses
Pokerspiele
Casinos That Accept USA Players
Poker Rakeback
Full Tilt bonus code
Rakeback
Poker Site USA
Nowadays in the Internet the Players are looking for a good Casino Bonus to find the best possible options for online Roulette.There is now the option of RtlPoker and a nice Casino Bonus to play some other games then just Poker.
The ideal casino site for gokkasten and even online poker including online casino games that can be found on mijn online casino, your casino information site for when gambling online or even offline.
Party Poker bonus code & room review
Tony G talks about his experinces in his blog
REVIEW OF PARADISE POKER WEBSITE
Online Poker Room Directory and latest poker news
Best Online Poker info on Internet!
Ultimate Bet new 40% deposit bonus
Copyright © 2004-2008 PokerForums.org, a Merendi Networks Inc. project.
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.7.0
Copyright ©2000 - 2008, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
SEO by vBSEO 3.2.0 ©2008, Crawlability, Inc.