This is a Mike Caro Tip:
When you're conspicuously winning and faced with a borderline decision between checking and betting, bet... AND between calling and raising, raise.
When you're conspicuously losing and faced with a borderline decision between checking and betting, check... AND between calling and raising, call.
....I was wondering has anyone else tested this theory, I am wondering if it actually works well. It sounds logical in thoery.
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Thread: Adjusting To Wins And Losses
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05-01-2006 #1
Adjusting To Wins And Losses
"On a large enough time line, the survival rate of a Donk will drop to zero."
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05-01-2006 #2
Im not sure I get this. Is there any context to it. It almost sounds like he is giving credence to being on a good run or a bad run, and I dont allow that to affect my decision making process (OK, I "TRY" not to)
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05-01-2006 #3
the last thing you want to be doing when you're losing or winning for that matter is just checking or flat calling raises.
You're just leaving everything open to be chased or what not.
I agree with antneye.. good/bad run really shouldn't affect how you play (in a perfect world)
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05-01-2006 #4
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Here is the whole section on the subject, written by caro...
Adjusting To Wins And Losses
Many of your opponents will treat you differently when you're winning than when you're losing. That's because they're conscious of luck and fear you more when you're "running lucky." When this happens, everything is as it should be in the universe, and your opponents are easier to control. You can bet marginal hands for value that you wouldn't be able to otherwise -- because you'd be afraid that these same opponents would be inspired by your losses and would raise aggressively or play deceptively.
It's true. When you're winning, your foes are apt to be docile and well behaved, and this allows you to press every hand for maximum value without fearing that they'll get maximum value for their hands, too. But, wait!
What's the best way to adjust, depending on whether you're running good or bad? Simple. Most of your decisions in poker will be "borderline," meaning that the decision isn't especially clear.
Do this: When you're conspicuously winning and faced with a borderline decision between checking and betting, bet... AND between calling and raising, raise.
But... when you're conspicuously losing and faced with a borderline decision between checking and betting, check... AND between calling and raising, call."On a large enough time line, the survival rate of a Donk will drop to zero."
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