I often find myself in this kind of situation and usually fold. Is this correct or is it a bit weak?
On the button in a 5-6 way unraised pot holding 9 10
Flop comes down J T 8 rainbow. I now have middle pair and a gutshot straight draw.
By the time it gets to me there has been a bet and 1 or 2 calls.
I just think that it is likely I am behind now.
- 9 for my two pairs gives two 1 card straight possibilities.
- Another 10 may or may not help.
- Q I am still losing to AK (unlikely to have limped but possible).
- There is a possibility (slim maybe but possibility) of someone haveing Q9 and already flopped the straight.
- A high probability someone else has a 9 so I will be splitting pot if I do hit.
Is everyone else folding here?
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Thread: Your Play?
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04-06-2006 #1
Your Play?
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04-06-2006 #2
First off, it's goign to be a long day. Your use of 10 and T lead me to beleive you flopped a nut straight. I thought the 10 came between the T and J. God help anybody I pick up today....
What type of table are we talking? A SSH table? Your average 2/4 table? High limit? Somewhere in between.
For a SSH table, I may even raise this based on equity alone.
For a regular table, You really gotta call this and pray. Pot's too good with 2-3 people in. You have a whole truckload of partial outs that add up to a playable hand.Marm is back, maybe. Been off for 3 years. Rusty as Hell.
Luck is a Residue of Design.
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04-06-2006 #3
This is NL. $100 - $200 buyin.
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04-06-2006 #4
Originally Posted by WotaWaster
Is this a NL situation?
If this is limit, then u have to call cuz ur getting the right odds to do so..
if this is NL it all depends on the size of the initial bet, if its a rainbow board, then i figure i have 8 outs to draw for the straight.. and i will call if im getting the right odds based on that.. if theres 2 to the flush on the board, i may put one of the callers on a FD and calculate my outs to 6 instead.
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04-06-2006 #5
Ok, couple of things you're missing here:
1) you have an OESD, not a gut shot. If a 7 comes off, you've got a straight to the J. Also, 97 also has the straight (not just Q9). And yes, a 9 is not an out here, but I'm pretty sure a T is.
2) You said this is NL (is it $100/$200, is the max buy in between 100 and 200, is this a tourney that has a 100-200 buy in??????). What's in the pot, and what's the bet? What are the stack sizes? We need to know what your odds are here.
3) What types of players are you up against?
4) What's your table image?Last edited by Jason75; 04-06-2006 at 01:01 PM.
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04-06-2006 #6
Sorry should have been more clear. I am talking exclusively cash game NL Texas Hold 'Em with Blinds in the region of .50/$1 or $1/$2. I am looking more for a general discussion on similar situations rather than the correct play here given all knowedge on sizes of bets, table image, opponents etc.
Obviously these factors will influence your play but am looking more for general guidelines and where you may differ from these dependent upon other factors.
Let me set out another situation. Everyone has stacks of $100+ and BB is $1.
Preflop 5 way pot and you are on button with 9T.
Flop:
8 T J
Pot $5
UTG checks
2nd to act bets $3
3rd player folds
4th player calls $3
You now have middle pair and a 1 card OESD. Highly unlikely you are winning now.
Slight possibility that your already drawing to a split with made straight (Q9).
Reasonable possibility of drawing to split with another player holding a 9.
Your 9 is almost certainly not going to help you, your 10 may, although again you may be drawing deadin that respect to JT, QT, KT, AT. Maybe I'm just pessimistic?
If you hit a 1 card straight implied odds must be very small anyway, and your not being oiffered immediate pot odds. Is a fold correct?
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04-06-2006 #7
Let me answer this situation this way: Don't play situations where you don't feel you have an advantage. If you think you're beat and there's no way to win with a bluff, then by all means fold this marginal hand.
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04-06-2006 #8
i have a very simple way to handle this, fold pre-flop. You hit about as good a flop as you can ask for with this hand and it still leaves you with a difficult decision.
9T offsuit is really marginal, this is more of a hand I'd like to have on the button against 1 or 2 player. This way I can use my position and possibly bluff or semi-bluff in addition to the times I have the best hand after the flop.
It's easy to get in trouble with this hand and there are too many unknown hands out there for my liking. For every 10 little pots you pick up I can see you losing a big one.
As for the original post-flop situation, So many hands that have you smooshed could be out there, someone could easily have a made straight already, someone could have a straight draw also and another player could easily have top pair or 2 pair or a set of 8s.
OK, you have some implied odds, but in NL you have implied odds with 23 or 49 here as well, doesn't mean you should play it. Implied odds are not just what you could possibly win but what you will likely win. i don't see this hand making money in the longrun in this scenario.Read my musings on poker and life at Online Poker Examiner, Poker Examiner, PokerNewsBoy.com, and My Poker Blog
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04-07-2006 #9
the flop is a fold, the pot odds arent there. And the implied odds with this hand arent that great, as u wont gain much even if u hit ur straight cuz the board will look very dangerous if the initial bettor has TP and a 7 or Q pops up on the turn.
Anyways, im with steve-o on the fold pf. 910 is only playable in my book if its suited.
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04-07-2006 #10
The suitedness was kind of irrelevant in this situation but I would be playing them suited if it makes you both happier.
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