Something for possible discussion... let's see if it even gets off the ground
I've noticed when playing that there are some people who like to bet their draws and obviously more who love to chase them. I was wondering what you guys think about if/when to bet/chase draws (I'm talking limit games here). Now I understand this is a pretty broad topic to cover and every situation is dependant on blah, blah, blah.
I'm mostly talking about flush and OESD's, how far will you generally take/push them? Will you take a flush draw to the river on a fairly ragged board all the time as long as you're getting better then 4:1? What about OESD's?
I guess my overall question here is will you usually play straight/flush draws strictly based on pot odds if you think a completed flush or straight can be the winning hand, and other than a semi bluff are they ever worth betting.
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03-30-2006 #1
Betting Draws/Chasing Draws...When and Why
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03-30-2006 #2
There is a component other than semi-bluff you have to consider, and that's pot equity.
If there are 4 or more people in the pot and you have a flush draw or OESD, then you actually come out ahead by betting if everyone calls (a better play is to raise from late position with 3 people in because you're almost SURE they won't fold to another bet). Basically your pot equity is about 35% and you're only contributing 25% of the bets to the pot so you come out ahead in the long run.I'm CDO. It's like OCD, but everying is in order just like it should be.
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03-30-2006 #3PokerForums God
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you talkign limit or no limit?
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03-30-2006 #4
^ See here's something that is still a bit tough for me to try and calculate during a hand..even afterwards to be honest
. By betting you're increasing the pot odds if your draw hits, however I remember in one of Skalansky's books he suggested check/calling when you have outs to a draw, and betting when you have a hand.. but with few outs.
I also remember Marm saying this about pot equity
So essentially for a flush draw to be profitable for example you'd need 4 people in the hand and also believe that if your flush hits you have better than a 25% chance of it holding up to be profitable.
Originally Posted by Marm
So essentially OSED and FD's arent generally worth drawing to if a total of 3 people are less are in the pot post flop?If you're looking to borrow money or have someone give you money in order to play poker online please don't contact me... Click Here for help , and explain your situation.
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03-30-2006 #5
Limit games
Originally Posted by Beavis68
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03-30-2006 #6
Just a thought but surely this will depend on what limit you are playing.
I don't play limit poker and have only dabbled a couple of times at limit low stakes.
In low limit games it seemed as though more players were calling to the end. It was easier to draw to flushes and straights as pot odds weren't my consideration but implied odds were. Different to no limit it seemed as if when I hit the flush people were prepared to bet down to the river even when the flush showed because they never had to put all of their chips at risk presumably, and with so many callers it was ok to take a shot at a built pot.
In no limit the implied odds are not so great when the flush shows (especially turn or pre turn) as players tend to clam up and not want to waste chips having to call down a potentially big bet on the river.
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03-30-2006 #7
he wasnt saying that your FD was no good if there are only 3 people in the pot but look at it this way. lets say you have a FD and are on the button with 3 other people making you last to act on the flop. You have about a 35% chance of catching your flush on the turn or river. So when betting gets around to you, if everyone is still in the pot, and you are getting 3-1 on your call, you can now raise. Your call is already giving you the right odds on your money and your raise will be called by 3 other people and you will be getting your odds on that money as well. But even when there are only 3 people in the pot you can still call that first bet as long as you are getting the odds, the only thing that changes is your raise.
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03-30-2006 #8
Betting the draws is BARELY profitable with 2 others in the pot if your hand holds up every time. I think the extra person in the pot makes that play EV+ with 4 people even if you think there's a 25% chance it may not be good - you've got enough excess equity to make up for those rare times your flush gets beat.
Originally Posted by Pok 7's
The number of people is only a consideration for betting or raising with your draw. If there are fewer than that and you're looking at just calling it becomes a straight pot odds problem. You may very well have the odds to call one sb on the flop with two or even one opponent, especially if the pot was raised pre flop.I'm CDO. It's like OCD, but everying is in order just like it should be.
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03-30-2006 #9
That Sklansky advice is for tighter tables. If you got a bunch of cally wallys, bluffing is a bad thing. In those cases where you are bluffing more than semi, you need to have fold equity on your side.
Originally Posted by Pok 7's
Its all about Pot-odds, not the people in the pot. At the SSH tables, You need to bet your made hands and your draws when you think your hand will best at the end a plurality of the time. It's not about how many people are in the pot perse, but if you are going to win more than your fair share of the pot a plurality of the time.Marm is back, maybe. Been off for 3 years. Rusty as Hell.
Luck is a Residue of Design.
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03-30-2006 #10PokerForums God
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When betting draws you do it for two reason 2 or 3 main reasons.
Originally Posted by Marm
1. Free card play. You need to have position for this.
2. Fresh money odds and pot equity - this is dependant on the number of people in the hand, and the number you think will call the raise - position is important here too.
5 players in the hand, you flop a flush draw and an overcard, you can bet or raise this hand pretty safely from around back but don't really want to do it first in the pot.
3. Disguise your hand. This fits in with the free card play. If you raise your flush draw on the flop, it may disguise it if you hit on the turn.
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