Welcome to PokerForums.org

If this is your first visit, be sure to check out the FAQ by clicking the link above. You may have to register before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.

Page 1 of 2 12 LastLast
Results 1 to 10 of 13
  1. #1
    Check Raiser Barbourman's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Location
    Arkansas
    Posts
    649

    Default $20 BI 20-man tourney final 3 decision

    20 man tourney $20 buy-in

    Down to final three...in the money.

    Blinds are capped at 500/1000.

    I have ~10,000 in chips and I am in the BB with AKo.

    SB has ~15,000 in chips.

    UTG has ~35,000 in chips and raises to put me all-in. SB folds.

    He has obviously played strong, hasn't really lost a called raise all night.

    Do I call? I would think the answer should always be 'yes'. Was I committed? I wanted to win, but should I have played a hand that ""I"" had control of(i.e., I'm the one pushing)?? I just wanted some input from you guys.

    I called all-in and lost to pocket 4's.
    Chuck Norris put the "laughter" in manslaughter..

  2. #2
    Poker Hustler Jason75's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    San Francisco, CA
    Posts
    1,230

    Default

    Frankly, at these blinds (even though they are capped), if I'm UTG I'm putting you guys both all in every hand.

    By the time you decided I'm pushing you around and you need to play back, you're toast.

    Given your chipstack, you have to decide if you're playing for first or just want to finish second. If you're playing for first, it's time to call. If you're playing for second, fold and hope UTG gets the other guy in a big confrontation (though he can hold out longer than you).

  3. #3
    Banned Irexes's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Location
    Essex, UK
    Posts
    2,389

    Default

    Call and then call a bit more.

  4. #4
    Mike McDermott tightagressive's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2006
    Location
    Michigan
    Posts
    3,439

    Default

    push it baby!

  5. #5
    Check Raiser
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Posts
    724

    Default

    With a marginal hand that isn't likely to be best, then you definantly want to be the one pushing. Say you had KTs here... it's still probably best, but your edge is tiny and you need that fold equity to make it profitable. But with AK you're a big favorite against most of his range of hands, a coinflip against most of the rest of them, and only a big dog to two of them.

    If you had pushed with AK, you would actually WANT a call, wouldn't you? So go ahead and put your money in.
    -You may not know this, but poker is a game of incomplete information.

  6. #6
    Check Raiser Barbourman's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Location
    Arkansas
    Posts
    649

    Default

    Yea, I wasn't too disappointed. However, I was wondering if there was any math showing that CALLING an all-in is -EV when in the final three....and if not, what hands are +EV? I would think that even AKo (drawing hand) could possibly be -EV.
    Chuck Norris put the "laughter" in manslaughter..

  7. #7
    PokerForums God
    Join Date
    Sep 2004
    Posts
    8,204

    Default

    A fair range of pushing hands is A2s+,A7+,22+ KTs+, and KQ.

    Against that range you are 60% favorite.

    Without the payout structure, no caclulations can be done.

  8. #8
    Check Raiser Barbourman's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Location
    Arkansas
    Posts
    649

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Beavis68

    Without the payout structure, no caclulations can be done.
    20 man tourney $20BI
    Only top 3 get paid
    1st place -- $200
    2nd place -- $120
    3rd place -- $80
    Chuck Norris put the "laughter" in manslaughter..

  9. #9
    PokerForums God
    Join Date
    Sep 2004
    Posts
    8,204

    Default

    Warning, this math is hosed, I forgot to add in the money you win if you lose the hand. Corrected answer is that calling is worth ~$113


    your $EV if you fold is ~$109 according to the idependant chip model.

    it is about $135 if you call can win which you will do about 62% of the time. That eqauls $83

    I am not sure how much value I put in the ICM, but it is the only way I know to approximate $EV.
    Last edited by Beavis68; 03-29-2006 at 02:38 PM.

  10. #10
    Stu Ungar Mr.McJ's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2006
    Location
    Toronto, Ontario
    Posts
    2,403

    Default

    AK when its down to 3 people, how could you not call?....especially if you're playing to win.

Page 1 of 2 12 LastLast

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •