Hand #30489409-25 at SnG-0026q (No Limit Hold'em Sit and Go)
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Started at 21/Mar/06 18:04:12
PowerfulRog is at seat 0 with 1530.
whopsterg is at seat 1 with 2030.
onadraw62 is at seat 3 with 2975.
pearlsnapman is at seat 4 with 2350.
BlJak00 is at seat 5 with 3140.
gntlgnt is at seat 6 with 1875.
_MAV_ is at seat 7 with 1100.
The button is at seat 7.
PowerfulRog posts the small blind of 15.
whopsterg posts the big blind of 30.
PowerfulRog: Td As
whopsterg: -- --
onadraw62: -- --
pearlsnapman: -- --
BlJak00: -- --
gntlgnt: -- --
_MAV_: -- --
Pre-flop:
onadraw62 folds. pearlsnapman folds. BlJak00 folds.
gntlgnt folds. _MAV_ folds. PowerfulRog raises to
135. whopsterg calls.
Flop (board: Ac 8d Ad):
PowerfulRog checks. whopsterg checks.
Turn (board: Ac 8d Ad Kh):
PowerfulRog checks. whopsterg checks.
River (board: Ac 8d Ad Kh 9h):
PowerfulRog bets 200. whopsterg raises to 870.
PowerfulRog goes all-in for 1395. whopsterg calls.
Tournament all-in showdown -- players show:
PowerfulRog shows Td As.
whopsterg shows 8s Ah.
Showdown:
PowerfulRog has Td As Ac Ad Kh: three aces.
whopsterg has 8s Ah Ac 8d Ad: full house, aces full of eights.
Hand #30489409-25 Summary:
No rake is taken for this hand.
whopsterg wins 3060 with full house, aces full of eights.
----------------------------------------------------------------
I feel like this was a horrible play on my part. Critique please.
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Results 1 to 10 of 99
Thread: Awful play?
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03-21-2006 #1
Awful play?
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03-21-2006 #2
Your reraise on the river is horrible and unnecessary as he just told you he had an Ace and there's a good chance you are therefore beaten.
I'd bet the turn and you'd probably get called which would make it easier to lose fewer chips on the river. Whichever way you cut it here you are going to lose chips.
Occassionally I bet out on flops like this hoping to catch action from the pocket pair, but I think you are basically buggered on this one.
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03-21-2006 #3PokerForums God
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Originally Posted by Irexes
I disagree completely. He could have a range of hands and thinks you are bluffing. "he can't have an ace with two on the board.
I really don't understand how you can avoid losing massive amounts of chips here.
Kind of funny that you think marm should go all in with his AQ but this hand you think is less strong?Last edited by Beavis68; 03-21-2006 at 03:23 PM.
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03-21-2006 #4
yeah but in marm's situation that was a MTT.. this is a SNG.. 2 different games right?
Originally Posted by Beavis68
i think i have to agree with irexes here on the river all in re-raise.. that is very unecessary.. if u think about it, when villian raises you on the river, the only thing u truly beat there is a bluff.. if u re-raise all in, the bluff isnt going to call u anyway. so there is no point in re-raising river. If this guy had a PP or paired his 8 he would have bet the flop. If this guy paired his K, he would have bet this on the turn. If this guy just paired his nine on the river, he would not have raised.
Therefore, at that point on the river, when villian raises you, he either has the Ace or is bluffing.. If he has the Ace then that means he has u beat. Since he called ur pf raise, if he has the ace, chances are he has AJ+.. if he thought ur pf raise was just a steal, and he allowed himself to call with A8, or A9... then u are still beat..and if he had A10, its gonna be a split pot anyways.Last edited by Eclipse86; 03-21-2006 at 03:45 PM.
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03-21-2006 #5
Yup, I'm a funny guy.
And your thinking is "he can't have an Ace with 2 on the board and one in my hand".
The kind of player who would reraise the river to chase off a bluff I can't see checking the turn
and the flop.
I'd call the river reraise (no way you can lay it down) but I'd be very happy and surprised if he had a weaker ace than mine.
And I totally agree this is a situation where you are going to lose a ton of chips.
As to the Marm one, Superficially similar situations Beav
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03-21-2006 #6
Posted the same time as Eclipse - that's a much better answer than mine.
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03-21-2006 #7PokerForums God
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Originally Posted by Irexes
No, that isnt my thinking. My thinking is that the hand has been checked down and he could be raising with a lot of different hands because he doesn't think WE have an ace.
2. I have no idea how to quantify the similarity, but I would be much more afraid of being behind in Marm's hand than in this one.
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03-21-2006 #8PokerForums God
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This is definitely not a "only beat a bluff" situation.
Originally Posted by Eclipse86
You beat pocket pairs, you beat any K (except AK), you beat any 9 (except A9) You also beat most of the aces the guy would limp with or K9 or 98 that doesn't realize his two pair doesnt mean shit.
I would personally rather take the chance of ending up with 3k chips than leaving myself with 500 and seeing that I was ahead. Really, what are the odds of making a comeback with 500 chips? There are places where MTTs and SnGs differ, but most of that is in pre-flop and sizing your bets.
And if I am wrong I would rather jump in another game then struggle with 1/3 or less the chips of everyone else.
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03-21-2006 #9PokerForums God
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Scenario 1: you raise all in:
you=3060 he=500 or
you=0 who cares about him
Scenario2= you call.
you=2635 he=1125 or
you=625 he=3035
you tournament equity if x is the chance that you are ahead TE1= 19.7x
TE2=17x+4(1-x)
break even 19.7x=17x+4(1-x)=17x+4-4x=13x+4
19.7x=13x+4
19.7x-13x=4
6.7x=4
x=59.7%
You have to think you win this hand less than 60% to not push. There are only 2% of random starting hands that are beating you. I know the odds that he has one of these is much better based on his action, but I cant think it is 60%. you could probably drop it a little to compensate for him folding, but I think that is unlikely like no more than 10%
http://sharnett.bol.ucla.edu/ICM/ICM.htmlLast edited by Beavis68; 03-21-2006 at 04:55 PM.
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03-21-2006 #10PokerForums God
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BTW, those numbers are your dollar EV based on a 100$ prize pool with 50%/30%/20% payout structure.
And if you think you have less than a 36% chance of winning, you need to fold vs calling.Last edited by Beavis68; 03-21-2006 at 05:14 PM.
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