what the hell.. raise this harder preflop.. at least 4x BB pf

If 2.5 is picking up the blinds, 2.5 is picking up the blinds. I'll adjust upward when it's not.

I am raising any two from the CO and button when folded about 70-80%. Raising 4x each time means I'm taking an unnecessary risk. Altering my raise size based on hand strength gives away too much.

I also don't mind playing a pot HU with a hand as strong as KQo. If my 2.5 raise induces a weak hand to call that wouldn't c all at 4x, all the better. I don't necessarily want KQ to just take down the blinds.


Chris

__________________
DailyHandQuiz.com - Free poker hand quizzes, updated every weekday.

Call 1250 to win 1800.
You need to win 70% of the time to be EV+

I think you can discount the possibility of him having an Ace, KK or QQ.
So he either has a pp or he doesn't (yes, obvious)

When he doesn't, he has either K high, Q high or 2 live cards:
vs 2 live cards (10% of the time - HoH bluff %): you win about 75% Equity: 7.5
vs Kx or Qx (90%): he has 3 outs to win, 3+ to tie (K/Q or pair runners): Equity: about 72.5

So, when he doesn't have pp, you are 80% to win

Against any pp you have 7 outs; you are 28% to win

In summary:

If he has pp 1 out of 5 times (20%) or more, it is an EV- call.

IMO, he will have a pocket pair at least 20% of the time, so (despite the outcome) you probably should have folded.

__________________
"There is a good chance I gave you a very bad description of something that doesn't work."