Whats He got #2?

Marm · #1 (**permalink**) 03-09-2006, 12:06 PM

Fairly tight 1/2 game... plays more like the 3/6ish games on other sites I have noticed. PLayed 1 table that for three rounds I saw 2 flops and 1 turn total, 13% FE, 109h/hr.

Villian here is a TAA. What does She have and Why do think that?

PokerStars 1/2 Hold'em (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is BB with

,

.
2 folds, MP1 raises, 5 folds, Hero 3-bets, MP1 calls.

Flop: (6.50 SB)

,

(2 players)
Hero bets, MP1 calls.

Turn: (4.25 BB)

(2 players)
Hero bets, MP1 raises, Hero 3-bets, MP1 calls.

River: (10.25 BB)

(2 players)
Hero bets, MP1 raises, Hero 3-bets, MP1 calls.

Final Pot: 16.25 BB
Main Pot: 16.25 BB, between Hero and MP1.

Pok 7's · #2 (**permalink**) 03-09-2006, 12:24 PM

JJ,KK, AKs is my guess....now how far off am I?

WotaWaster · #3 (**permalink**) 03-09-2006, 12:29 PM

AA?

Not capping PF for deception.
Deciding to wait until bets increase to raise on turn.
Just calling 3rd raise on river I don't know why.

Also could be JJ/QQ/KK fearing higher PP?

Marm · #4 (**permalink**) 03-09-2006, 12:44 PM

My thinking was AK/AQ, and that shes thinking her Ace is now good... I put that 70%, 20% TT/JJ, 10% KK/AA.

Now... I know I can do this, but this problem, using My %'s would be good practice for people learning EV math. I don't know the answer yet... but I'll work it out.

Antneye · #5 (**permalink**) 03-09-2006, 12:49 PM

I was thinking overpair or AK AQ etc...........

Im not really sure though. Limit is a language I don't really speak.

Nimvin · #6 (**permalink**) 03-09-2006, 12:55 PM

AcXc x probably being painted.
then once he sees 2P on the board, he figures his A is good, because it is not likely that you were raising PF with either a 3 or 8 in your hand.

Pok 7's · #7 (**permalink**) 03-09-2006, 12:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Marm

My thinking was AK/AQ, and that shes thinking her Ace is now good... I put that 70%, 20% TT/JJ, 10% KK/AA.

Now... I know I can do this, but this problem, using My %'s would be good practice for people learning EV math. I don't know the answer yet... but I'll work it out.

Seeing as how I sucked at Math in school, and the classes I took were just to get me by.. I have no idea how to do EV math

Trons · #8 (**permalink**) 03-09-2006, 12:59 PM

I'm thinking QQ, JJ, TT, or AK. I believe since you've already stated he was TAA that if he had AA or KK he would be capping each round including PF. Since he's not Capping I'm putting him on a hand that fears an overpair. I discount 99 and below because I don't think he would have raised PF from that position with 99, but that depends on how agressive he is...

Marm · #9 (**permalink**) 03-09-2006, 01:02 PM

You Find out how many combinations of each are left (16 AK and 8 AQ, etc). You then multiply each set by the % of occurence I estimated. Then you take that number and multiply it by its equity, at lets say the turn. You do this for each set of occurences. This will give you your equity biased towards my assumptions. Gonna need PokerStove or another engine to do this though.

Bravel · #10 (**permalink**) 03-09-2006, 01:02 PM

Classic split pot. QQ vs. QQ.