Quote:
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Originally Posted by Jason75
I bet 500 into the $875 in the pot. UTG+1 folds quickly, MP considers momentarily then calls (I have no idea what he has), CO folds.
Here comes the Turn. Board reads:
We still have our set of 2's. Pot is now $2075. We've both got about $800 in chips left. MP quickly checks. What do we do now?
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Review: MP had called $200 raise preflop (with still 4 to act behind him); check/called flop.
I can't see him having any draw. He's got to have a PP of some rank (3-Q). It would be odd of him not to bet his pair on the turn to see where he is at. I'm getting real worried about him having a higher set. There is a chance that he has two overcards and puts you on a bluff, but I'm skeptical.
Question is, if he has a higher set and you bet here, is he going to just call (and ambush on the river) or will he push now?
If you check now, what's he likely to bet on the river? I would guess that he would assume he could only get more chips by value betting.
Therefore, I recommend the safe route. Slow down and check. He puts you on a steal, most likely. You can call him down on the river and if he has the overset, you avoided getting busted. I cant really see him pushing on the river.
I know you aren't supposed to worry about losing a set to a higher set, but I guess I don't think that way (flaw in my game?). Maybe this play is a little weak.