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Originally Posted by xxdemexx
Mostly at that level
(i.e a fish)
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by xxdemexx
AQ: Heavy preflop raise from JK would kill off QQ once the King fell (JK could have AK)... 33: possible..but again I would expect something less passive at the flop because of the poss' flush...JK announced nothing less than AK preflop - so this guy isnt scared of being called by two pair/trips..
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First, the players at that level are fish and then they're:
1.) Smart to not call with AQ preflop.
2.) Smart enough to not call with second button.
3.) Smart enough to protect their set against a flush draw on the flop
4.) Able to put a player on a AA, KK, or AK PF (but still play the hand?).
5.) Smart enough to not think his two pair is best if he has AQ even though the only hands he could beat are JJ and AJ.
6.) Smart enough to think that his AK would be beat with the big three on the board after a strong player raised PF.
7.) Smart enough to see JKoff as a strong player.
I could see where you were coming from if you weren't mixing and mismatching your logic. Is the guy a fish or not? We don't know. But my original question wasn't answered.
If laying down on the river was a good laydown, then shouldn't his bet on the turn be criticized for being to high as he could received adequate information from a $6 bet?
Shouldn't his turn call be criticized after that bet? His call on the turn is only good if he feels that he has the best hand and his opponent will only pay him off if he calls rather than re-raising all in. Otherwise, that bet on the turn is horrible or the bet on the flop was horribly low..
More times than not you have the best hand here. You knew where the 3 big hearts were which is why I like your flop bet and why I like your turn call. I think you re-raise all in on the river because you've showed a weak, fishy, can't lay down my hand RIGHT NOW that will induce the same bet on the river. With the call many would receive the message that the pot was theirs with 2-4off.
But he's gonna pay you off. I do agree, Deme. Villian would bet bigger with nothing, but Villian has a lot of reason to believe that his AK, AQ, or 33 is best. I'm leaning more toward 33- maybe AK and he's not layin' it down. Because most of the time, you're gonna be best here, CALLING the $15 to win $55 isn't bad either. You have to have the worst hand 4 out of 5 times in spots like this for a call to be -EV.
I started the thread on being pot-committed. With you knowing where the 3 big hearts are, as much as you're throwing into the pot thinking you're beat, you have to make these calls on the river. If you're looking for information on the turn and not betting for value, $8 is too much.
Laying down the best hand IS bad when all of the evidence points to you having the best hand more times than not.