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Go Back PokerForums.org > General > General Poker Discussion > Tweaking formulas for the best hourly win rate

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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 03-01-2005, 08:18 AM
Chaser
 
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Default Tweaking formulas for the best hourly win rate

Results:
Playing three tables of 2-4 Limit hold'em
After logging in 400 hrs
Average hourly win rate = $36.57 per hour

Playing three tables of NO Limit hold'em (blinds 1-2)
After logging in 400 hrs
Average hourly win rate = $64.79 per hour

Playing $20 and $30 sit&go's (two at one time)
After logging in 200 hrs
Average hourly win rate = $11.07 per hour

I am now convinced that no limit is the way to go. I showed the numbers to my fiancee (I'm getting married in Maui on Monday March 7th) and she still would not be cool with me quiting my job and playing all day. Go figure, I do love my day job (selling software) so I won't complain too much. But this test proves that no limit cash games is the way to go. It is very important to play a minimum of 3 tables because I usually find myself down at one of the three tables. Also, you have to willing to play for at least 2 hr sessions to allow the time factor to kick in. What really surprised me was how few losing sessions I had. In limit, even playing 3 tables at once, I would get 1 losing session out of 3. But in no limit, it was closer to 1 losing session out of 5.

Regards,
Enrique
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  #2 (permalink)  
Old 03-01-2005, 08:53 AM
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not enough hours, thats only 10, 40 hour weeks. maybe see what the results are at 1000 hours, but even that isn't ahuge amount.

you also can't compare 1/2 no limit to 2/4 hold em, see what you're results are playing 5/10 or 10/20 hold em those would be more comparable to 1/2 NL
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Old 03-01-2005, 08:58 AM
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You should have a lot less variance and a lot less risk playing 2-4 than NL.

How many hands do you have in that 400 hours?

With that level of SitNGo, I wouldn't expect that you could do any better than 20-30 an hour, you would have to step up to the 50s and 100s to make a livable wage. Making $60 an hour at the 100s would be realistic.
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Old 03-01-2005, 10:48 AM
Chaser
 
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Default Enhancing hourly win rate

Steve-O,
You are right about not enough hours. But I am now going to start a new spreadsheet. This one will have 3-6 limit and 2-4 No Limit. Once again, I will go until I log in 400 hrs. I play about 30 hrs per week, so it will take a little while. I will not play athe 5-10 or 10-20 games because online those games are too aggressive and too tight for my taste.

Beavis68,
I agree with your comments. To answer your question, I did not track number of hands per hour, so I can't answer that. However, in regards to your comments about sit&gos I wanted to add that the $50 and $100 sit&go have a much tougher lineup than the $30 sit&go's. I have pokerprophecy.com software, so before I sit at a table I check the stats on the players. At the $30 level I am usually surrounded by fish, or avg players. But at the $50 and $100 level, most players are solid or above avg. You can do a test run at their site to see that their software is great and it's only a $20 investment. Check my stats, you will see that I fall in the highest category. Anyways, you are right, making good money with the sit&go's is tough.

Regards,
Enrique
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Old 03-01-2005, 10:50 AM
Chaser
 
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PS - My nick at partypoker is EAMelguizo and it's Enrique and just about every other site.
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Old 03-01-2005, 08:54 PM
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HOnestly, getting married and quitting your day job is just not pheasible with only a 400 hour sample. Yes, it may be a good indicator of your play, but its really not enough sample size. You are risking your and her future? Get about 2,000 hours before you make your decision.
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Old 03-01-2005, 09:33 PM
Chaser
 
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Thanks for the reply Marm. I agree with you but I did want to state that my decision would have more to do with the fact that I have been playing for almost 10 yrs and I did play for a living for about a year and a half and did well. However, I decided to go back to the real world because I was getting burned out. I would definitely not make a career choice of 400 hrs of play only.
Regards,
Enrique
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