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  1. #1
    Check Raiser ImNotSpecial's Avatar
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    Sep 2010
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    Cambridgeshire - United Kingdom
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    754

    Exclamation Variance (online screwing me or huge down swing?)

    Hi guys as you know i play online almost every day with anything from 1-12 hours...
    Not as a professional or anything like that...
    I used to play NL50/100 on rush poker and sometimes ring tables..
    I recently moved to SNG's as i found a good strategy for them.. winning approximately 8/10 sng's each time.

    I had bad beats obviously, but they never bothered me...
    I recently started to have bad beats every few minutes on a table (this is not a joke, people railing me saw my beats... going all in on flop with 85+% fav hand and losing to a sick runner runner)

    I had a substancial bankroll to keep up with my losses... all though sometimes pooping out of my BRM...
    I still managed to go busto at least twice... even though i moved fown in BI's A LOT...
    started on $60 sng's
    to $36
    to $24
    now im on $6.50

    the players were either grinders (meaning 8+tables with the strategy up to 75/150 it was JJ or better hands played only, then ATC, position and reads... bubble abuse etc)

    OR

    complete fuck tards that folded to an all in when broadway was on the board but would stil call me all in with 4 7 offsuit pre flop for their entire stack 5 handed...

    the bad players were basicly on every table i went, taking up about 1/2 the table to sometimes all the table (depending on times.. USA still sleeping means FISH FISH FISH)

    anyways, i got ridiculous calls, ridiculous all ins 4-1 favourite and still lost.. all though a coin flip.. the coin is always double sided for fish to play with...

    Ive gone through 68 SNG's and ive cashed 7 of these...
    THIS IS ONLINE..

    where as...
    Live poker my results are as follows...
    13 week poker league i came 1st place...
    cash games im owning
    private 6max sng's im profiting with like 1 1st place, 1 2nd and 1 3rd..


    so my question is this....
    if VARIANCE (yes, variance... the word that i have come to fucking hate)
    .. if variance is killing me online, why is it not killing me live...
    and please remember this is a 13 week league and a 7 hour session on 6max live, regardless of amount of hands...
    why am i constantly losing online, when my play is either so standard or WAYYY ABOVE THE FIELD...( no eego)

    some one please come up with an answer from me, its hard for me to take a break from online poker... its an addiction now and is within my daily routine... Every week i suffer 10 sng bubles in a row and i decide, yes this is it im leaving for good.. and i play the next day...
    IS THE SITE FUCKING ME OVER ?
    or am i just losing to fuck tards whos luck will eventualy run out.. after my BR has and i got no $$$ to get back my losses from them (before i kill them all)

    Poker: Am I still gambling if I have the nuts?

  2. #2
    River Rat B2BAces's Avatar
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    Oct 2010
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    MTT/ 180
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    391

    Default

    Volume.Volume.Volume

    As posted on another thread on another forum : you need at least 2K games to get an estimated ROI that represents your game . But even so with perfect +EV calls and good ICM play you can break even for a long long time . I understand variance trust me, playing like three months now and starting to take it seriously . 600+ games / month .

    First month - 12 ROI
    Second month - Break even 0.10 - Got break even after playing out of BR on 22 and 55 SNG's
    Third month - "-2.75" ROI

    FT was killing me (-30BI day bleah) so I shipped a part of the BR to stars and also cashed some , not in a rush but I hope I'll get to 1.2K soon so I can move up to the $20 games (Once reached will invest in TableNinja as well).

    Ive gone through 68 SNG's
    If you are confident that your game is solid and there are no leaks in your game play with a 60+BI bankroll and play as much as you can . Complain about variance once you go through at least 1K games . Start on the lower stakes , work your way up and never disregard bankroll management !

    Another advice , checked your stats and looks like you mix it up a lot . Choose the game you are most comfortable with 6man , 9man, 18man or whatever and stick with that .
    Build a poker bankroll , get $50 free starting capital!
    Up to 40% rakeback at http://rakeback.freepokerbankrolls.net

  3. #3
    Semi-Pro Moderator KnightofNarg's Avatar
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    Aug 2010
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    Iowa
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    Default

    You could record a video of yourself playing some SNG's and post it for review.

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