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  1. #21
    Super Moderator RakeGuard's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by rank25 View Post
    Not questioning your expertise or your opinion (pre rakegaurd). But if you run this business, it is good business sense to become apolitical on this type of subject (same reason US generals do not vote in elections). As a business person i'm certain you can fill in the blanks as to why.
    I see your point and it's a good one.

    However, we have thousands of players at RakeGuard, and we've been making it a point to have educated players over the years. If players are in the know, then they are better players. That's why we give away free poker coaching training memberships, articles etc.

    Secondly, I don't even offer PokerStars...they are my competition. I am simply supporting simple math and variance.

    Thirdly (and this shouldn't be taken as a condescending point though I'm sure it will), look at the registration date/post count of people who come in and say that poker is rigged. Much of this is new to them despite what they may say.

    Someone new to variance would say that if you flip a coin 10 times, it should come out heads between 4-6 times. However, variance doesn't work that way. A sample of 1,000 might get variance to 40-60% for only two outcomes. Poker hands have much more than two outcomes, so variance will take time. Variance will take patience. Thus, poker takes patience. No matter how much the people registered after October 1st, 2009 say they know about poker, you cannot ignore the stats on both "sides" of this argument.

    The older members that used to post here would be all over this as they have seen it all. Try posting this same post at 2p2 and most likely the thread will get locked within a couple of pages. Nobody really has the patience to go over the points that I am listing anymore. Either you get it after a couple of months, or you find something else to do.

    It's hard to not make this sound like I'm putting down the newer members. I suggest that you do some quick variance tests such as guessing 20 flips of a coin on paper (Heads, tails, heads, heads, tails, etc.). Then actually run the test. I'll ruin the point here...but most people don't put the same flip more than 2-3 times in a row, which isn't the way it works out. Add in variance, plus your own money at risk, and you might even think that the coin is rigged!
    Well over $300,000 free every month in 2011 with freerolls, rake races, and rake chases!

    www.RakeGuard.com has the highest rakeback percentages available.

    RakeGuard...more than just rakeback.

  2. #22
    River Rat Sid_07's Avatar
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    last week in the course of 400 hands I lost (4) 70/30's in a row for stacks the fact that I lost them doesn't bother me because when the money went in I knew I didn't have the nutz but the hand was to strong not get the money in.

    To me the varience is losing 4 in a row. Do I think the site I play on is rigged, ahh no. bad players put on more bad beats because and suck out more because they stay in the hand to long or make bad decisions and get it in really bad.

    This conversation should be about bad players putting the beat down on you not the site. The site just deals the cards they have no control of who puts money in and how much.

    Oh and I checked and over the last 10,000 hands I am running above expectation in allin pots.

  3. #23
    Super Moderator RakeGuard's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sid_07 View Post
    last week in the course of 400 hands I lost (4) 70/30's in a row for stacks the fact that I lost them doesn't bother me because when the money went in I knew I didn't have the nutz but the hand was to strong not get the money in.

    To me the varience is losing 4 in a row. Do I think the site I play on is rigged, ahh no. bad players put on more bad beats because and suck out more because they stay in the hand to long or make bad decisions and get it in really bad.

    This conversation should be about bad players putting the beat down on you not the site. The site just deals the cards they have no control of who puts money in and how much.

    Oh and I checked and over the last 10,000 hands I am running above expectation in allin pots.


    Amen!
    Well over $300,000 free every month in 2011 with freerolls, rake races, and rake chases!

    www.RakeGuard.com has the highest rakeback percentages available.

    RakeGuard...more than just rakeback.

  4. #24
    Fish Food
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    It has nothing to do with poker bonuses. It has to do how your mind works. You simply remember badbeats more then those hands which you win. Obviously there will be a cases when you run bad, but most of the time people do not notice that they have a lot of other leaks and blame everything on luck with statements like: "I am the most unlucky guy" "poker is rigged" "I run below EV"
    If you lose 30 buy ins at 6 max most of the time it will be attributed to your bad play.
    If you want sent me your hands and I analyze them for free.






    Quote Originally Posted by buckshot View Post
    I've been playing on there for over a year and have done ok. Not good enough to stop working but good enough that I've been ahead. I never used any bonus codes when depositing until about a month and a half ago and ever since I have been getting SLAUGHTERED.

    I have lost over $6,000 at 1/2 NL tables. I can barely win a hand and I am playing tight as shit. If I have KK they have AA. If I make a smart call they ALWAYS suck out, if I flop middle set they flop top set. It's the same few people who are creaming me. If I do have the nuts (after the river) they won't even call a small bet. If I bluff, they'll call with ace high.

    I just made a king high flush and got hit by the same guy who made four sevens.

    Everything was going fine until I registered for those stupid bonuses. Has anybody else started getting slaughtered after registering for bonuses?

  5. #25
    Fish Food
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sid_07 View Post
    last week in the course of 400 hands I lost (4) 70/30's in a row for stacks the fact that I lost them doesn't bother me because when the money went in I knew I didn't have the nutz but the hand was to strong not get the money in.

    To me the varience is losing 4 in a row. Do I think the site I play on is rigged, ahh no. bad players put on more bad beats because and suck out more because they stay in the hand to long or make bad decisions and get it in really bad.

    This conversation should be about bad players putting the beat down on you not the site. The site just deals the cards they have no control of who puts money in and how much.

    Oh and I checked and over the last 10,000 hands I am running above expectation in allin pots.
    Good to hear. What software do you use for that and how much did it cost? I've never seen those types of programs in use. They'll follow pokerstars hands? They follow every hand dealt or just the ones you are in? Will they give you stats for every type of percentage? Sorry for all the questions.

    And again, has anyone ever kept track of how many 95%ers, 93%ers they've seen win in a row? I'd seriously like to know people's experiences. I'd love to hear someone who had an experience where they saw 25 95%ers win in a row (above average I know, but after 1000's of games your going to see it with some degree of regularity). Whether I'm in the hand or not, whether I'm dominant or beng dominated in a hand - the two and three outers on the river (although they win a majority of the time) are winning too often.

  6. #26
    Fish Food
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    I am not fully confident that poker sites don't manipulate the game possibly at times. I play on Full Tilt and I posted on this topic in the Online Discussions. I agree WhoCares, that the algorithm can be to blame for this and maybe not the intentional rigging of games.

    I play real money on Full Tilt, and I play tight aggressive, and by that I mean I have a range I'll play depending on position, pot size etc... and I rarely stray from that strategy. I play for free on Zynga facebook poker, for fun, playing the same strategy. I have never really been able to stay ahead on FullTilt, but playing on Zynga started with 2000chips, two months I am up to 3.5mil. I think it has to do with the algorithm.

    Now with all of this said, I think that people use live game odds, or real world dealing, and expect to see the same type of play online, and I just don't think that it happens. I rarely lose any money at home games, which I play in about twice a month, and I typically book money at everyone, playing the same style of poker.

    This problem with online poker won't be able to be fixed until the US governement regulates it and makes sure that there is legitimacy.

  7. #27
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    Here's an idea. If the sites are truly rigging the games it could easily be determined by have an admitted / documented losing player (who thinks its rigged) meet with documented winning player (who does not think its rigged) at a neutral location and have the winning player play on the losing players account at the losing players stakes (if he wins he can transfer the winnings over to his account).
    If he consistently gets clobbered, then there can be another discussion.

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