Caught? I've just been busy, only been home about 2 hours in the last 3 days.
In a 3 turn game:
O needs HH, X needs HT
HHH O
HHT OX
HTH X
HTT X
THH O
THT X
TTH
TTT
X wins 4 times out of 8, O wins 3 times out of 8
Its because in the event X loses there is a 50% chance of starting out on another H where O has to start on a T 75% of the time. (or something like that...)
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“There's no sense in being precise when you don't even know what you're talking about.” - John von Neumann
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