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Go Back PokerForums.org > The Player's Lounge > General Discussion > 100 Marbles in a Jar, Not a good question at a bar

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Old 07-02-2005, 03:40 PM
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change my title babo
 
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Default 100 Marbles in a Jar, Not a good question at a bar

Well it rhymed..
Materials: 2 Jars 100 marbles, 50 red,50 blue

You need to place all the marbles into the jars. You can place them however you want. All the marbles must be in a jar. You want to maximize the chances that when you pick 1 random marble out a one of the randomly selected jars it will be red.

Example
You put 25 red marbles in Jar A with 25 blue ones.
You put 25 red marbles in Jar B with 25 blue ones.

You have a .5 chance of selecting Jar A and then a .5 chance of selecting a red marble. = .25
You ahve a .5 chance of selecting Jar B and then .5 chance of selecting a red marble. = .25

.25+.25 = .5
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Old 07-02-2005, 05:03 PM
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in one jar you put only 1 red marble, in the other put all the remaining marbles.

Last edited by slp; 07-02-2005 at 05:14 PM.
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Old 07-02-2005, 05:12 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by slp
in one jar you put only 1 red marble, in the other put all the remaining marbles.

Yea thats right. Next time, put it in white so others still have a shot at it.
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Old 07-02-2005, 09:59 PM
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can someone show the work?
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Old 07-02-2005, 10:07 PM
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Jar A 50 blue 49 red
50% Jar A @ 49.49494949% = .247

Jar B 1 red
50% jar B @ 100% = .5

.5 + .247 = .747

at best you have a 3 in 4 shot at picking red
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Last edited by Av8tor009; 07-02-2005 at 10:10 PM.
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