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Originally Posted by Trons
Ok...I'm sure the first comments are going to be raise more PF...I'd watched the SB and the BB closely to see what kind of bets they were folding to PF (not knowing their cards) and both were playing fairly tight. They both had reason to respect a raise by me and I figured I could play this a little slower...
My main question is...even though I had a read on BB should I have called that river bet based on the 6:1 odds alone, or should I have trusted my read and folded...thereby possibly enhancing the idea I may have been on a steal.
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Im folding on the river here and making it look like im on a steal, although in both ways it could work for you on future hands. If you look like your on a steal now then they will call your preflop raises more and also try to bluff you on the river more - which is good - even better when you have a hand to call them down with.
If you call then they know they can check down TPTK, against you and induce you into a call on the river - which ultimately takes your chips since well you dont have Top pair and are beaten by any ace.
There was a similar situation in a turbo where I had QQ it came xxK, 2 others in the pot I bet out 100 a small bet, they both called, turn came another blank, I bet 100 they called again, river came blank - well they were all low cards... someone bet 200 I folded and the winner showed JJ... Not that I didnt have a read on him, but I fully expected a king - its a difficult situation in a pot like this but from the preflop raise you MUST expect an ace...especially after he check calls your flop bet.
I admit he could be on a branch of whole other hands but thats the situation that arises when your fearing an overcard pair to your strong starting pair - 6 to 1 isnt bad odds to call, but im saving my chips...