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Old 04-16-2007, 12:14 PM
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Meldon Meldon is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Leeds, UK
Posts: 347
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Default Is my maths flawed here?

Just played in 2 tourneys.

Tourney 1 - I'm one of the chip leaders and the following 3 hands knocked me out. These were the last 3 hands I played (i.e folded all the others pre-flop). Odds taken when all the money went in the middle:

60% favourite
85% favourite
50%

Tourney 2 - I played one hand where I folded post-flop, then an all in with AK v AT)

70% favourite


The odds of me losing these 4 all-ins are calculated as :

0.4 * 0.15 * 0.5 * 0.3 = 0.009
=0.9%
~ 100-1

Last edited by Meldon; 04-16-2007 at 12:26 PM.
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