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Old 09-14-2006, 03:25 PM
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the alex the alex is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SeanyBullets1
AI alex? He's got $40+ behind, can you explain why you would push? (I get the 3 people behind, but that's a 10x raise). I'd bet out here, why the CR?
12 outs to the absolute nuts if your opponent has a set- discounting your opponents' odds to the FH/quads, you're a 2:1 dog. But he limped PF and I think that we can throw QQ out the window so only 6 combinations have us as 2:1 dogs.

15 outs against AQ, KQ and KK+ as an 11:9 fav. Add in the times you pick up the pot with Ace high when your opponent is forced to fold QJ and JJ. If not, v. QJ=17 outs and v. JJ=16 outs. You could have the best hand against KJ, J9 and AJ. And you have 16 outs against 2d3d as an 11:9 fav.

There's enough dead money in the pot to make this a +EV push.
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