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Originally Posted by DaFish
ok, let's say I have AJo, raised 3x BB, 2 calls, in a NLHE tourney with low blinds.
Board is something like J73, 73 share a suit.
If I get called with a pot-sized bet, does it mean QQ+ or could it be JTs too, assuming all players are tight? And what about KJo, will I get called by that hand?
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I like this flop and only have a small worry about a call this early in the tournament. Calling usually means one of two things, slowplaying or a passive/weak player. I'm gonna believe that the second is true more often than the first. I don't put my opponent on an overpair since there was no reraise PF. The board is very uncoordinated for either two pair or even a decent straight draw. So I put my opponent on TP/MK or a flush draw (who is ignoring the odds...happens all the time). My biggest worry is a slowplayed set.
BUT, since I got called on a full pot bet, I will only bet 1/2 on the turn (whether or not a scare card appears). If this is called, I will check the river and reconsider my options there. If the turn is raised, I know that I am probably beat...but I may call depending on the turn card and the size of the raise...but often I will fold.